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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
eleonorrigbyFlaznorpKch-Tempkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)59% (10–7, n=17)71% (3118–1302, n=4420)70% (16–7, n=23)47% (735–824, n=1559)
Consensus PnL$34K$661K$592K$653K
Tracked asPM monthly #922PM monthly #7was PM monthly #256PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)54% (108 of 200 open)60% (3 of 5 open)52% (55 of 106 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 10 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 5% of 566)10% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 38% of 335)30% (won 100% of 3)34% (won 100% of 161)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 62% of 157)60% (won 100% of 6)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 326)0%9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketeleonorrigbyFlaznorpKch-Tempkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $874—Lakers $58K
Steelers vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
——Bengals $16KSteelers $19K
Spread: Lakers (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $1.2K—Suns $13K
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $251—Clippers $11K
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $141—Lakers $11K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $539—Knicks $8.4K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $143—Wizards $8.5K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $397—Jazz $6.7K
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $5.2K—Mavericks $1.0K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $2.0K—Clippers $2.7K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $149—Under $3.1K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Lakers $1.2K—Suns $1.2K
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163—Hawks $2.0K
Champaign: Nicholas Mekhael vs Keshav Chopra
opposite sides · consensus Keshav Chopra
—Keshav Chopra $1.0K—Nicholas Mekhael $647
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
—Western Michigan Broncos $1.2K—Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $44
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1K—Scafati Basket $20
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
—Wisconsin Badgers $4—Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $1.1K
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Jazz $113—Spurs $887
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10—Under $857
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $597—Under $205
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $377—Lakers $196
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $60—Under $488
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $79—Under $243
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $235—Lakers $59
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $136—Hornets $149
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $158—Under $2
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $110—Under $4
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $44—Under $26
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $12—Jazz $14
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14—Under $8
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8—Under $4
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $4.4K—Lakers $22K
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.2K—Jazz $16K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $17Cowboys $15K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $899—Lakers $5.7K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Under $698
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 205.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $391—Under $727
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.1K—Jazz $14
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $617—Under $6
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $202—Hornets $322
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $66—Spurs $399
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $56—Under $107
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $141—Under $6
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 203.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $54—Under $57
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $60—Under $1
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5—Under $56
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 209.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $45—Under $16