Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpndb1rayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6551–6119, n=12670)63% (993–578, n=1571)53% (2565–2292, n=4857)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$4.8M$8.7K
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #96was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (267 of 389 open)71% (58 of 82 open)60% (78 of 131 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=962, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%98% of 1044 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)2% (won 96% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)32% (won 98% of 337)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)51% (won 98% of 533)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)14% (won 97% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

54 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1rayvanmechelen
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $595Under $6.6KOver $3
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2.9KArsenal FC $5
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.7K—Over $5
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.4K—No $69
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.1K—No $670
Will Port FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $364—Yes $992
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $354—No $568
Will Nomme Kalju FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $742—No $6
CSD Mixco vs. Deportivo San Pedro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $517—Under $3
Will Maidenhead United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $281—Yes $162
CD La Serena vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $86—Over $238
Spread: Boreham Wood FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Boreham Wood FC
—Boreham Wood FC $291—Wigan Athletic FC $4
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $197—Under $2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183—Under $10
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $185—Over $4
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $167—Over $10
Hednesford Town vs. Morecambe FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $128—Under $8
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129—SD Eibar $5
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Brentford FC
—Brentford FC $121—Brighton & Hove Albion FC $12
Will Garuda Yaksa win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $76—No $9
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $33—No $10
Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $39—Under $3
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $29—No $7
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $15—No $7
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Knicks $10—Cavaliers $6
Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5—No $10
Will JK Narva Trans win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6—No $9
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12—No $2
Nets vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $2—Nets $9
POFC Botev Vratsa vs. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.6K—Under $9
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.7K—No $10
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.8K—No $21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6K—No $8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $3.4K—No $6
Will Racing Club de Ferrol win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.9K—No $10
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $19
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
same side · consensus AIK
—AIK $2.4K—AIK $10
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8K—No $468
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Over $6
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.4K—No $81
Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.3K—No $9
Will FC Halifax Town win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $18
Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $6
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $11
Preston North End FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Under $11
CD La Serena vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $535—Over $522
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $322—No $593
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $905—Over $9
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $875—No $10
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $818—No $3