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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (366–315, n=681)48% (435–476, n=911)
Consensus PnL—$405K$449K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #8PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (128 of 185 open)57% (52 of 92 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢—59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $656Trail Blazers $31K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9.7KOver $14K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $323Kings $23K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $22KClippers $6
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Illinois $434UCLA $21K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $11K
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $13KWarriors $5
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $11K
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $3.4KWarriors $2.9K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.5KOver $5
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.9KJazz $1.1K
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $533Hawks $3.8K
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Hawks $252Bulls $1.0K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $400Under $649
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $21Jazz $955
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $258Under $534
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Arizona Wildcats $398Auburn Tigers $13
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $130Trail Blazers $202
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
—Stanford Cardinal $1UNLV Runnin' Rebels $8
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.4KUnder $43K
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Bulls $21KBulls $28K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.2KOver $1.6K
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.5KUnder $3.9K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $7.3KOver $6
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $5.3KSpurs $724
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $74Over $4.6K
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $565UCLA $3.7K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $2.9KColorado $674
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KOver $18
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $2.2KTrail Blazers $450
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $337Bulls $2.3K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.7KClippers $795
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.6KOver $231
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.6KJazz $6
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $923Warriors $208
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $101Colorado $972
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $194Clippers $5
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $90Over $19
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $53Kings $4
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Hawks $15Hawks $1
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
same side · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—UIC Flames $3UIC Flames $6