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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (12–11, n=23)54% (371–318, n=689)48% (446–481, n=927)
Consensus PnL—$567K$398K$521K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #37PM monthly #8PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position69% (118 of 171 open)56% (48 of 85 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $499Trail Blazers $30K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9.8KOver $19K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $22KClippers $39
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $376Kings $22K
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
——Illinois $434UCLA $21K
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $15KWarriors $2
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $11K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $12KClippers $17
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.1KOver $2
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $3.2KWarriors $241
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $810Under $847
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $3
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $391Under $696
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Rockets $12Jazz $950
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
——Arizona Wildcats $429Auburn Tigers $14
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $119Trail Blazers $214
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maryland Terrapins
——Maryland Terrapins $42Virginia Cavaliers $190
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
——Stanford Cardinal $2UNLV Runnin' Rebels $7
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $8.8KUnder $51K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $25KSpurs $24K
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
——Rangers $3.5KRangers $39K
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $8.7KJazz $1.0K
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $5.5KSpurs $746
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $71Over $4.9K
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
——UCLA $620UCLA $3.7K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
——Colorado $2.8KColorado $699
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.2KOver $18
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $2.4KTrail Blazers $469
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $2.7KJazz $10
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $1.7KClippers $951
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.6KOver $5
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $173Warriors $77
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $205Clippers $25
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $44Kings $16
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $3Kings $5
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
same side · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
——UIC Flames $3UIC Flames $2