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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (371–318, n=689)48% (446–481, n=927)59% (40–28, n=68)
Consensus PnL—$398K$521K$532K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #8PM monthly #19PM monthly #15 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (117 of 168 open)52% (40 of 77 open)50% (6 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.7KClippers $967Thunder $8.3K
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $3.2KWarriors $241Warriors $2.8K
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Clippers $271Thunder $267K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $499Trail Blazers $31K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9.8KOver $20K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $376Kings $22K—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Illinois $434UCLA $21K—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $15KWarriors $2—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $11K—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $12KClippers $351—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.0KOver $2—
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $810Under $847—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $3—
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $12Jazz $1.0K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $391Under $542—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Arizona Wildcats $429Auburn Tigers $20—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $119Trail Blazers $214—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maryland Terrapins
—Maryland Terrapins $42Virginia Cavaliers $190—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.7KUnder $51K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $25KSpurs $24K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $3.5KRangers $39K—
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $8.7KJazz $1.1K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $5.5KSpurs $746—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $71Over $5.4K—
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $620UCLA $3.5K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $2.8KColorado $699—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.2KOver $18—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.7KJazz $10—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $5—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $40Clippers $598—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $173Warriors $77—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $190Clippers $25—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $44Kings $16—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $3Kings $5—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
same side · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—UIC Flames $3UIC Flames $2—