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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Secondhandvinyl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (366–315, n=681) | 48% (435–476, n=911) | 91% (161–15, n=176) |
| Consensus PnL | $405K | $449K | $947 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (128 of 185 open) | 57% (52 of 92 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 37% (won 100% of 110) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | 3% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 94% (won 100% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Secondhandvinyl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $656 | Trail Blazers $31K | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $9.7K | Over $14K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Trail Blazers $323 | Kings $23K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Thunder $22K | Clippers $6 | — |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | Illinois $434 | UCLA $21K | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Predators | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $11K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Spurs $13K | Warriors $5 | — |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | Over $11K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Spurs $3.4K | Warriors $2.9K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.5K | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Rockets $3.9K | Jazz $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $533 | Hawks $3.8K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Hawks $252 | Bulls $1.0K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $400 | Under $649 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Rockets $21 | Jazz $955 | — |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $258 | Under $534 | — |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | Arizona Wildcats $398 | Auburn Tigers $13 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $130 | Trail Blazers $202 | — |
| Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels | Stanford Cardinal $1 | UNLV Runnin' Rebels $8 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.4K | Under $43K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Bulls $21K | Bulls $28K | — |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8.2K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.5K | Under $3.9K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7.3K | Over $6 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $5.3K | Spurs $724 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $74 | Over $4.6K | — |
| Spread: UCLA (-7.5) same side · consensus UCLA | UCLA $565 | UCLA $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) same side · consensus Houston | Colorado $2.9K | Colorado $674 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.3K | Over $18 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $2.2K | Trail Blazers $450 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-5.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $337 | Bulls $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $795 | — |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.6K | Over $231 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $1.6K | Jazz $6 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $923 | Warriors $208 | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | Colorado $101 | Colorado $972 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Clippers $194 | Clippers $5 | — |
| Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $90 | Over $19 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $53 | Kings $4 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Hawks $15 | Hawks $1 | — |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels same side · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | UIC Flames $3 | UIC Flames $6 | — |