Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighSecondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)52% (12–11, n=23)54% (371–318, n=689)48% (446–481, n=927)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$567K$398K$521K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #8PM monthly #19PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (118 of 171 open)56% (47 of 84 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighSecondhandvinyl
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $499Trail Blazers $30K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9.8KOver $17K—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $22KClippers $39—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $376Kings $22K—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Illinois $434UCLA $21K—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $15KWarriors $2—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $11K—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $12KClippers $340—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.1KOver $2—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $3.2KWarriors $241—
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $810Under $847—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $3—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $391Under $702—
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $12Jazz $955—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Arizona Wildcats $429Auburn Tigers $14—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $119Trail Blazers $214—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maryland Terrapins
—Maryland Terrapins $42Virginia Cavaliers $190—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.7KUnder $51K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $25KSpurs $24K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $3.5KRangers $39K—
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $8.7KJazz $1.1K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $5.5KSpurs $746—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $71Over $4.9K—
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $620UCLA $3.7K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $2.8KColorado $699—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.2KOver $18—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $2.4KTrail Blazers $469—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.7KJazz $10—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $5—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.7KClippers $877—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $40Clippers $558—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $173Warriors $77—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $172Clippers $25—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $44Kings $16—
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
same side · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
—Stanford Cardinal $2Stanford Cardinal $18—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $3Kings $5—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
same side · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—UIC Flames $3UIC Flames $2—