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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | yuyuvkxDD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (527–481, n=1008) | 48% (617–662, n=1279) | 83% (24–5, n=29) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $370K | $549K | $328K | -$2.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #114 | was PM monthly #418 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (92 of 142 open) | 57% (59 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | yuyuvkxDD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $477 | Tulsa $43K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.6K | Over $28K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $922 | Over $25K | — | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.4K | Under $16K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.9K | Over $16K | — | — |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus San Jose State | Air Force $5 | San Jose State $17K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $10K | Pistons $3.2K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $13K | Timberwolves $560 | — | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $7.3K | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.9K | Over $6.1K | — | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $25 | Under $11K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $7.7K | — | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | Over $4.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines | Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K | Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K | — | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.5K | Over $10 | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | Texas $3.6K | LSU $30 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $2.7K | Timberwolves $409 | — | — |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State | North Dakota State $2.2K | Hawai'i $728 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.6K | Under $108 | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $291 | — | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisville | North Carolina $1.6K | Louisville $170 | — | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisville | North Carolina $754 | Louisville $444 | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $572 | Under $525 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $352 | Under $12 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $157 | Heat $11 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $88K | Grizzlies $38K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $28K | Grizzlies $348 | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $11K | Over $17K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Utah | Utah $234 | Utah $25K | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $1.8K | Texas $16K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $8.4K | Heat $8.9K | — | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $151 | New Mexico $13K | — | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | Over $174 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $966 | Over $7.8K | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-6.5) same side · consensus LSU | LSU $6.3K | LSU $278 | — | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $596 | New Mexico $5.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Virginia Tech $3.1K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | Texas Tech $2.8K | Texas Tech $865 | — | — |
| Spread: Utah (-2.5) same side · consensus Utah | Utah $603 | Utah $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Heat | Pistons $2.3K | Pistons $1 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $936 | Over $339 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $164 | Over $433 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $16 | Nets $37 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $2 | Nets $49 | — | — |