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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1NM-Pprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)63% (1014–591, n=1605)82% (5526–1224, n=6750)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$52K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #508PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus66% (193 of 291 open)72% (63 of 87 open)67% (115 of 172 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 100% of 257)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)21% (won 100% of 860)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)21% (won 100% of 888)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)52% (won 100% of 2130)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1NM-Pprimm
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2KUnder $34K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $231—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.3K—No $779—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.4K—Yes $3.7K—
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.5K—No $2.1K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—No $1.3K—
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $184—No $1.9K—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8—No $1.3K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Casper Ruud $333—Carlos Alcaraz $820—
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $967—Yes $79—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $614—No $334—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $785—No $99—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $410—Under $401—
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $451—No $327—
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $416—Notre Dame $353—
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $612—Yes $39—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $163—Seahawks $479—
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Broncos $303—Panthers $325—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $259—Yes $266—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $480—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $218—Rams $193—
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213—No $36—
Nets vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2—Nets $140—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $56K—No $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $1.2K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.5K—No $3.3K—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.0K—Under $540—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578Under $6.4K——
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee $1.2K——Middle Tennessee $5.1K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.7K—No $1.0K—
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $4.0K—
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K—No $80—
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2K—No $168—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8K—No $1.6K—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K—No $1.1K—
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K—No $528—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $983—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $489—No $1.4K—
Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—No $422—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $565—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $23—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $260—No $1.4K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—No $84—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $553—No $813—
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $8—No $1.2K—
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $561—No $590—
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $875—No $200—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $734—No $264—
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $315—No $600—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $614—No $256—