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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1NM-P
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)82% (5526–1224, n=6750)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$4.8M$52K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #508
Sides with the consensus66% (188 of 283 open)no open consensus position72% (63 of 87 open)69% (109 of 159 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 100% of 257)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)21% (won 100% of 860)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)21% (won 100% of 888)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)52% (won 100% of 2130)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1NM-P
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $34K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K——Yes $231
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.3K——No $779
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.4K——Yes $3.7K
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.5K——No $2.1K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——No $1.3K
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $184——No $1.9K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8——No $1.3K
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Casper Ruud $333——Carlos Alcaraz $820
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $967——Yes $79
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $614——No $334
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $785——No $99
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $410——Under $401
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $451——No $327
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $416——Notre Dame $353
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $612——Yes $39
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $163——Seahawks $479
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Broncos $303——Panthers $325
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $259——Yes $266
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3——No $480
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $218——Rams $193
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213——No $36
Nets vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2——Nets $140
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $56K——No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K——Under $1.2K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.5K——No $3.3K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.0K——Under $540
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578—Under $6.4K—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.7K——No $1.0K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $4.0K
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K——No $80
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2K——No $168
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8K——No $1.6K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K——No $1.1K
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K——No $528
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $983
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $489——No $1.4K
Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.3K——No $422
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $565
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $23
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $260——No $1.4K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.3K——No $84
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $553——No $813
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $8——No $1.2K
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $561——No $590
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $875——No $200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $734——No $264
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $315——No $600
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $614——No $256
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $732——No $71