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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | YEEES-but-why | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 53% (307–269, n=576) | 46% (323–386, n=709) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $758K | $308K | $250K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #503 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (12 of 24 open) | 66% (97 of 146 open) | 59% (67 of 113 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 15) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 100% of 15) | 30% (won 100% of 49) | 39% (won 100% of 88) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 100% of 14) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 47% (won 100% of 108) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 2) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 7% (won 100% of 17) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | YEEES-but-why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $380K | Commanders $2.6K | Commanders $79K | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Raptors $126K | 76ers $37K | 76ers $183K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Giants $46K | Giants $612 | Commanders $3.1K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $230 | Raptors $21 | 76ers $28K | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $5.5K | Under $6.8K | Under $7.3K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $144K | — | Commanders $40K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $110K | — | 76ers $37K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Raptors $134K | — | 76ers $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Mavericks $68 | Timberwolves $53K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Raptors $31K | — | 76ers $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Memphis (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Memphis | — | Memphis $98 | South Florida $12K | — |
| Spread: Suns (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $7.6K | Suns $5 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $6 | Mavericks $7.1K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Wizards $2.1K | Pistons $4.5K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | 76ers $3.1K | Raptors $2.9K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1 | Over $4.9K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Wizards $2.0K | Pistons $65 | — |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | Over $62 | — |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $823 | Over $51 | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 36.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $146 | — | Under $565 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $132 | 76ers $204 | — |
| Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions | — | South Alabama Jaguars $300 | Loyola Marymount Lions $3 | — |
| Memphis vs. South Florida opposite sides · consensus Memphis | — | Memphis $179 | South Florida $109 | — |
| Spread: Louisiana (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisiana | — | Louisiana-Monroe $35 | Louisiana $33 | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $9 | Under $3 | — | — |
| Jets vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | — | Stars $10K | Stars $50K | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $2.6K | Pistons $40K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $30K | — | Raptors $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Mavericks $6.4K | Mavericks $14K | — |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $1.8K | Hornets $17K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Senators | — | Senators $9.4K | Senators $3.7K | — |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets same side · consensus Lightning | — | Blue Jackets $81 | Blue Jackets $9.6K | — |
| Blues vs. Utah same side · consensus Utah | — | Blues $4.9K | Blues $3.7K | — |
| Islanders vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | — | Islanders $49 | Islanders $8.5K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.6K | Under $115 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $111 | — | Raptors $5.6K | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $229 | Over $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Suns (-5.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $3.6K | Hornets $2 | — |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks same side · consensus Sabres | — | Blackhawks $3.3K | Blackhawks $164 | — |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Wild | — | Maple Leafs $526 | Maple Leafs $715 | — |
| Spread: UTEP Miners (-4.5) same side · consensus UTEP Miners | — | UTEP Miners $1.2K | UTEP Miners $7 | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $52 | Over $987 | — |
| Spread: Memphis (-4.5) same side · consensus Memphis | — | Memphis $267 | Memphis $283 | — |
| Canadiens vs. Bruins same side · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $385 | Canadiens $160 | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $21 | Over $128 | — |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13 | Over $44 | — |