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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 71% (2825–1180, n=4005) | 47% (671–742, n=1413) | 53% (529–468, n=997) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $529K | $890K | $639K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (153 of 266 open) | 63% (46 of 73 open) | 59% (26 of 44 open) |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=204 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 40% (won 6% of 531) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 12% (won 44% of 90) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 24% (won 38% of 315) | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 11% (won 61% of 150) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 94% of 320) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | Otto Virtanen $392 | Otto Virtanen $904 | Otto Virtanen $1 |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | — | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $156K |
| Cyprus vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.8K | Over $16K | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $18K | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $14K | Packers $2.4K |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $303 | Packers $15K | — |
| Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $7.6K | Yes $85 | — |
| Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3.8K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $182 | Jazz $4.9K | — |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | — | Rams $4.8K | Cardinals $199 |
| Will Granada CF win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.3K | No $19 | — |
| Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat opposite sides · consensus Adrien Gobat | — | Adrien Gobat $810 | Buvaysar Gadamauri $1.8K | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $1.6K | — | Oklahoma $494 |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Over $297 | — |
| Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu opposite sides · consensus Michael Vrbensky | — | Michael Vrbensky $1.8K | Vadym Ursu $74 | — |
| Will GFA Rumilly Vallières vs. AS Saint-Étienne end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $110 | No $15 | — |
| Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage opposite sides · consensus Nexus | — | FORZE Reload $4 | Nexus $19 | — |
| Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.2K | Under $52K | — |
| Bills vs. Jets same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $33K | Bills $3.5K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $19K | Browns $1.2K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $620 | Seahawks $19K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $165 | Falcons $15K | — |
| WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang | — | Mertens/Zhang $1.2K | Mertens/Zhang $9.3K | — |
| Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.4K | No $1.1K | — |
| Spread: France (-2.5) same side · consensus Türkiye | — | France $154 | France $5.0K | — |
| Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $583 | Under $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Saints (-2.5) same side · consensus Panthers | — | — | Panthers $3.8K | Panthers $887 |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $489 | 76ers $3.2K | — |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $3.3K | — | Panthers $238 |
| Helsinki: John Sperle vs Moez Echargui same side · consensus Moez Echargui | — | Moez Echargui $300 | Moez Echargui $2.6K | — |
| Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.2K | Over $446 |
| Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2.2K | Yes $8 | — |
| Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | No $194 | — |
| Dota 2: Froglings vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Froglings | — | LEGION $10 | LEGION $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $213 | Suns $793 | — |
| Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $20 | Under $972 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $159 | Mavericks $555 | — |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) same side · consensus Czechia | — | Croatia $193 | Croatia $429 | — |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | — | — | Patriots $413 | Patriots $194 |
| Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $209 | Yes $42 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | — | Colts $3 |