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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfe1AC268Ff0710dC220792689a5c7dC1f701A67f-1791058278212FlaznorpHomeRunHazardMD14
Record (consensus markets)100% (11–0, n=11)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)53% (516–456, n=972)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL$15K$482K$362K$328K
Tracked asPM monthly #703PM monthly #11PM monthly #10PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (130 of 227 open)64% (97 of 152 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfe1AC268Ff0710dC220792689a5c7dC1f701A67f-1791058278212FlaznorpHomeRunHazardMD14
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $2.7KGrizzlies $83K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 257.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $302—Under $53K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $398Nets $16K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.0KUnder $8.4K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.5KNets $9.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.9K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.1K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.0KUnder $4.6K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $502Under $1.7K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $239Over $405—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $393Pistons $199—
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
—Little Rock Trojans $4Northwestern State Demons $508—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $24Over $445—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11Under $452—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Utah $231—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $241—
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $21North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $75Nets $8—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $15—
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $4Pistons $9—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.0KGrizzlies $25K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $116Under $14K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $2.5KCavaliers $8.3K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.2KBulls $8.8K—
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $914Cavaliers $8.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434Heat $7.4K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $549Cavaliers $6.2K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $689Heat $6.0K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $3.9KBulls $2.0K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $1.2K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $3.9K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $276Over $4.7K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KOver $2.5K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $258Under $2.9K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.4KCavaliers $311—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $79Under $910—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34Under $423—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $187Under $99—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets
same side · consensus UC Davis Aggies
—Sacramento State Hornets $178Sacramento State Hornets $5—
Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $107Mavericks $15—