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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | melody1223 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 53% (20–18, n=38) | 66% (499–256, n=755) |
| Consensus PnL | -$253K | $3.3K | -$43K | -$130K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #805 | PM monthly #102 | PM monthly #48 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (18 of 36 open) | no open consensus position | 36% (15 of 42 open) | 61% (142 of 233 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 3 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 33% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 100% of 7) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 67% (won 100% of 2) | 55% (won 100% of 11) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | melody1223 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | Under $17K | Over $1.0K |
| UMass vs. Toledo opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $1.9K | — | Toledo $7.0K | UMass $25 |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | Toledo $865 | — | Toledo $4.3K | UMass $438 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $14K | — | — | Celtics $736 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $13K | — | — | Over $257 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Sacramento State $7.9K | Central Michigan $5.0K |
| Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5.8K | Under $3.3K |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $8.3K | — | — | Spurs $25 |
| UMass vs. Toledo: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $4.4K | Over $3.8K |
| Spread: Toledo (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $5.6K | UMass $1.1K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Sacramento State $3.6K | Central Michigan $2.9K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Sacramento State $3.0K | Central Michigan $2.7K |
| Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.7K | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $4.6K | UMass $501 |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $4.4K | UMass $542 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Sacramento State $2.5K | Central Michigan $1.7K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-23.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Central Michigan $699 | Sacramento State $2.8K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Sacramento State $2.5K | Central Michigan $679 |
| Spread: Buffalo (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buffalo | — | — | Ball State $28 | Buffalo $3.0K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Central Michigan $438 | Sacramento State $2.0K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Sacramento State $1.8K | Central Michigan $561 |
| Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 35.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.3K | Over $950 |
| Spread: Buffalo (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Buffalo | — | — | Ball State $861 | Buffalo $955 |
| Spread: Toledo (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | — | Toledo $1.8K | UMass $36 |
| Spread: Toledo (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | UMass $780 | Toledo $728 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Central Michigan $401 | Sacramento State $923 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Sacramento State $549 | Central Michigan $651 |
| UMass vs. Toledo: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $185 | Over $931 |
| Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Sacramento State $175 | Central Michigan $861 |
| Spread: Toledo (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | UMass $222 | Toledo $738 |
| UMass vs. Toledo: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $266 | Under $480 |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $33 | — | — | Under $354 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Central Michigan $25 | Sacramento State $14 |
| Nets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Nets $270 | — | — | Nets $22K |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $12K | — | — | Cavaliers $4.9K |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $14K | — | — | Raptors $641 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $13K | — | — | Raptors $1.0K |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $3.8K | — | — | Lakers $4.4K |
| Magic vs. Jazz same side · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.3K | — | — | Jazz $2.8K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $9 | — | — | Sacramento State $3.1K |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 207.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $777 | — | — | Over $502 |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Bulls $557 | — | — | Bulls $615 |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $391 | — | — | Under $515 |
| Spread: Ball State (-1.5) same side · consensus Buffalo | — | — | Ball State $195 | Ball State $385 |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $31 | — | — | Cavaliers $500 |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | — | Under $380 |
| Spread: Ball State (-2.5) same side · consensus Buffalo | — | — | Ball State $270 | Ball State $66 |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | — | Over $311 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $40 | — | — | Knicks $78 |