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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)50% (71–72, n=143)74% (370–130, n=500)66% (499–256, n=755)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$253K-$3.8K-$130K—
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #979PM monthly #48 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus43% (16 of 37 open)52% (178 of 342 open)60% (130 of 215 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
  • NBA +22 pts n=71, ROI +20%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=14, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 111 at avg 76¢, ROI +22%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%100% of 4 at avg 74¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)2% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 12)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)8% (won 100% of 9)13% (won 100% of 26)0%
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)26% (won 100% of 29)30% (won 100% of 62)0%
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)64% (won 100% of 71)51% (won 100% of 106)75% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

104 on the same side, 63 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Pan9XRN1UpTheBlues
Wizards vs. Pacers
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $11KWizards $113Pacers $23K—
Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14KOver $80Over $1.0K—
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $14KCeltics $38Raptors $588—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $8.3KBulls $32Spurs $25—
UMass vs. Toledo
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Toledo $1.9KToledo $111UMass $25—
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Pacers $329Wizards $54Wizards $1.4K—
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
Toledo $865UMass $39UMass $438—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1KOver $11Over $34—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $391Over $24Under $515—
Lakers vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $3.8KLakers $159Lakers $4.2K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Sacramento State $9Sacramento State $140Sacramento State $3.1K—
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Bulls $557Bulls $111Bulls $612—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $31Cavaliers $57Cavaliers $500—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $201Under $38Under $192—
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Knicks $40Knicks $32Knicks $78—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $14K—Celtics $736—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $13K—Over $257—
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $5.5KKnicks $14——
Magic vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Jazz $3.3KMagic $10——
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $131UMass $1.1K—
Rangers vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $1.1KFlames $73——
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Spurs $3Bulls $1.0K—
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9Over $821—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $32Under $761—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $30Under $696—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $58Under $560—
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $13Lakers $605—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Celtics $5Raptors $603—
Spread: Celtics (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Celtics $11Raptors $578—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $542—
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Wizards $7Pacers $511—
Spread: IU Indy Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
—IU Indy Jaguars $5Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $462—
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7Over $451—
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $9Nets $426—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $43Knicks $391—
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $29Cavaliers $349—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Bulls $115Spurs $249—
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Celtics $5Raptors $348—
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $47Lakers $292—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 206.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $311—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $284—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $23Over $258—
Spread: Pacers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $107Wizards $169—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12Under $226—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $12Over $221—
Spread: Raptors (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $124Raptors $107—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 242.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $210—
Spread: Raptors (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Raptors $3Celtics $188—
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 265.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7Under $167—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $140—