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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99wata33-ts
Record (consensus markets)52% (12–11, n=23)72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (345–290, n=635)no settled market
Consensus PnL$567K$410K$403K—
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #14PM monthly #105PM monthly #825
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (109 of 216 open)54% (63 of 116 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99wata33-ts
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4.6KRockets $191—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $133Over $3.2K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6Georgia Southern $2.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $784Over $1.2K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $225Trail Blazers $1.6K—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $460Yes $1.3K—
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $366—
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5KCanucks $29—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.2KThunder $49—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $155Kings $627—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $290Yes $362—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $505Under $116—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $321Over $182—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $452Clippers $12—
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $53Trail Blazers $395—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $333Golden Knights $79—
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $17Spurs $259—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $156Thunder $10—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $79Over $11—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $66—
Spread: Rockets (-37.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $6Jazz $45—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $13—
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2KSpurs $8.3K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $560Spurs $9.6K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $540Clippers $8.9K—
Spread: Jazz (-2.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $4.1KRockets $32—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $1.8K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.1KSpurs $2.1K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $438Kings $2.4K—
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $369Jazz $1.7K—
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $1.5KClippers $488—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.3KSpurs $657—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.8KJazz $51—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Rangers $221Rangers $1.2K—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $20Colorado $1.0K—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $86Predators $458—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-26.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $44Trail Blazers $14—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $2Kings $54—
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $15Under $40—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—