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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | 45% (14–17, n=31) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $324K | $18K | $769K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #129 | PM monthly #905 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (130 of 227 open) | 51% (76 of 148 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Sabres $206 | Stars $96K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $2.7K | Grizzlies $70K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Utah $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.5K | Nets $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $4.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $701 | Nets $5.8K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.0K | Under $1.7K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $116 | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.0K | Under $63 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.5K | Under $290 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.3K | Under $344 | — | — |
| Spread: Nets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $627 | Nets $669 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $839 | Over $154 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $914 | Mavericks $78 | — | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | Oklahoma $507 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $502 | Under $125 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $75 | Nets $412 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $398 | Nets $80 | — | — |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | Utah $89 | Sharks $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $30 | Pistons $34 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $911 | Bulls $197K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.0K | Grizzlies $33K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $689 | Heat $11K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $276 | Over $7.1K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $384 | Texas Tech $5.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $3.9K | Bulls $1.4K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $3.4K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $2.2K | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | Arkansas $1.1K | Arkansas $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.7K | Bulls $288 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $187 | Under $1.2K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $79 | Under $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | Heat $915 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.2K | Bulls $37 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-17.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $742 | Bulls $373 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $828 | Bulls $66 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | Heat $363 | — | — |
| UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Luis Gurule | Luis Gurule $383 | Luis Gurule $80 | — | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies | Montana Grizzlies $21 | Montana Grizzlies $170 | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $3 | — | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU same side · consensus BYU | Baylor $17 | Baylor $5 | — | — |