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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsavemeVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)70% (3024–1268, n=4292)47% (705–782, n=1487)33% (2–4, n=6)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$518K$825K-$1.5K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #15was PM monthly #684PM monthly #44
Sides with the consensus58% (174 of 298 open)61% (54 of 88 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=612———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 6% of 540)5% (won 100% of 23)20% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 322)34% (won 100% of 159)60% (won 100% of 3)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 62% of 152)52% (won 100% of 243)20% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 319)9% (won 100% of 42)0%13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsavemeVirIntrepidus
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1649ers $183K—Cowboys $283
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $624Seahawks $43K—Seahawks $58K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $24KOver $10K——
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $22KUnder $2.8K——
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $5Over $22K——
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $16KYes $3.0K——
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $717Over $12K——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $435Knicks $8.6K——
Will Spain vs. England end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7.0KNo $1.9K——
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Rockets $138Wizards $8.0K——
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $2Lakers $7.6K——
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Celtics $4.8KMavericks $1.1K——
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $75Lakers $5.7K——
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $366Jazz $5.3K——
Will Croatia vs. Czechia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.7KYes $47——
Champaign: David Bakonyi vs Axel Nefve
opposite sides · consensus Axel Nefve
Axel Nefve $907David Bakonyi $1.6K——
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus High Point Panthers
High Point Panthers $1.7KSaint Louis Billikens $543——
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Bucks $165Hawks $2.0K——
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons $2.0KEastern Illinois Panthers $4——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $809Over $652——
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $13——
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $10Under $841——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $141Under $495——
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
Missouri Tigers $25Marquette Golden Eagles $162——
Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $71Yes $9——
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $121KYes $4.0K——
Will Spain win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $24KNo $6.1K——
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $1.8K——
Will France vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $883——
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
same side · consensus Croatia
Czechia $1.5KCzechia $8.3K——
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $3.3K—Cowboys $5.8K
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6KNo $3.3K——
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $125Suns $6.0K——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $11Over $3.9K——
Will Czechia win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5KNo $1.8K——
Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1KNo $850——
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
same side · consensus Gladiators Trier
Gladiators Trier $593Gladiators Trier $360——
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $916——
Will CD Godoy Cruz win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $692Yes $54——
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 159.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21Under $680——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $248Under $6——
Will CD Godoy Cruz vs. CSD Tristan Suarez end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
No $83No $67——
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
same side · consensus Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns $45Texas Longhorns $4——
Chemnitz 99 vs. Basketball Loewen Braunschweig
same side · consensus Chemnitz 99
Basketball Loewen Braunschweig $24Basketball Loewen Braunschweig $24——