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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlyuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)48% (617–662, n=1279)58% (11–8, n=19)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$502K$549K$769K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #18was PM monthly #70was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensus54% (100 of 185 open)59% (61 of 104 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)58% (won 100% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)33% (won 100% of 4)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlyuyuvkxDD
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $626Grizzlies $38K——
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Arizona $23Utah $25K——
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $6.6KPistons $10K——
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Sabres $160Stars $13K——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $6.5KTimberwolves $982——
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $409Nets $5.3K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $728Nets $4.7K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $4.6KTimberwolves $409——
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Heat $1.0KPistons $3.2K——
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
Arkansas $2.2KSouth Carolina $1.7K——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.1KUnder $564——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KUnder $108——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0KOver $339——
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $443Nets $900——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $853Under $2——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $669Over $9——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $339Under $258——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $422Pistons $1——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $125Under $2——
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $76Nets $43——
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $54Nets $37——
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Timberwolves $14Bulls $18——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.5KOver $28K——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.9KOver $7.8K——
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $2.2KHeat $8.9K——
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.1KOver $7.8K——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.9KOver $201——
WTA Finals, Final Stage (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Errani/Paolini
same side · consensus Errani/Paolini
Errani/Paolini $2.1KErrani/Paolini $209——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $865——
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $348——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1KOver $9——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $575Over $433——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $798Under $12——
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $731Heat $11——
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $580Heat $19——
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $295Nets $41——
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
Melbourne Renegades $261Melbourne Renegades $43——
Sydney: Hayden Jones vs Naoki Nakagawa
same side · consensus Naoki Nakagawa
Naoki Nakagawa $287Naoki Nakagawa $5——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $85Under $5——