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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8 | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 75% (677–224, n=901) | 43% (158–208, n=366) | 67% (429–211, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | -$24 | $34K | $54K | -$142K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #791 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 61% (74 of 122 open) | 72% (31 of 43 open) | 50% (32 of 64 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 0% of 11 at avg 0¢, ROI +1% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 100% (won 0% of 11) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8 | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predators vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Predators | — | Kings $138 | Predators $35K | Kings $107 |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $2.4K | Trail Blazers $16K | Thunder $696 |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Magic $1.8K | Kings $8.1K | Magic $668 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $1.7K | Magic $5.6K | Magic $2.4K |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Magic $1.3K | Magic $1.3K | Kings $156 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $816 | Under $157 | Under $1.1K |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $59 | Under $362 | Under $1.2K |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $25 | Under $195 | Under $1.2K |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $73 | Over $911 | Under $120 |
| W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Hikaru Sato opposite sides · consensus Joanna Garland | — | Hikaru Sato $77 | Hikaru Sato $19 | Joanna Garland $474 |
| Spread: Magic (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $520 | Magic $15 | Magic $4 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $19 | Under $218 | Over $68 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $6 | Thunder $117 | Trail Blazers $103 |
| Magic vs. Kings same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $9.1K | Magic $26K | Magic $25K |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $201 | Under $103 | Under $121 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz | — | Cameron Norrie $517 | Taylor Fritz $14K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | — | Kings $5.5K | Magic $2.0K |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3.2K | Over $1.3K | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.3K | — | Over $125 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | — | Alexander Shevchenko $365 | Casper Ruud $3.0K | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 201.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.1K | — | Under $36 |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Magic $698 | Kings $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $174 | — | Magic $1.8K |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 207.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $628 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A opposite sides · consensus Team Falcons | — | Vitality $19 | Team Falcons $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $181 | Magic $1.3K |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $6 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $132 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $4 |
| Spread: Kings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Magic $872 | — | Kings $41 |
| Spread: Kings (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Magic $659 | — | Kings $67 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 211.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7 | Over $674 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $255 | — | Thunder $383 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $518 | — | Over $2 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $347 | — | Thunder $160 |
| Spread: Thunder (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $454 | — | Thunder $9 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $366 | Trail Blazers $45 | — |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $335 | — | Over $13 |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $90 | — | Trail Blazers $175 |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | Montana Grizzlies $252 | — | San Francisco Dons $5 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $227 | — | Over $21 |
| Spread: Thunder (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $196 | — | Thunder $10 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.8K | Under $878 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.7K | — | Over $1.8K |
| WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Bucsa/Melichar vs Errani/Paolini same side · consensus Bucsa/Melichar | — | Bucsa/Melichar $1.1K | Bucsa/Melichar $2.9K | — |
| Predators vs. Kings: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13 | Over $3.0K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $294 | Over $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $1.3K | — | Trail Blazers $80 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $226 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $611 | Trail Blazers $578 |