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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026jayemeceeRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)38% (35–58, n=93)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M-$1.5K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87was PM monthly #993PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)60% (59 of 99 open)0% (0 of 1 open)55% (86 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Soccer −3 pts, n=52—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%38% of 93 at avg 39¢, ROI −1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)25% (won 22% of 23)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)49% (won 33% of 46)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)20% (won 58% of 19)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 80% of 5)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026jayemeceeRN1
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $19K—Under $4.4K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $136KBulls $11K—76ers $371
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $53—Giants $7.8K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67KGiants $52—Eagles $66
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11KEagles $468—Eagles $496
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18KChiefs $248—Chiefs $1.6K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $190KEagles $61K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $101KTexans $33K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115K——No $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K——Cowboys $5.8K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KCowboys $21K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $20KTexans $33K——
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13KCommanders $14K——
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21KJets $5.5K——
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Cowboys $5.9K—Colts $6.6K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Under $7.4K
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $5—Chiefs $6.5K
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $6.0K—Panthers $2
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $53—Chiefs $5.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $1.4K—Chiefs $4.3K
Lima: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nicolas Jarry
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Nicolas Jarry $5.5K—Felipe Meligeni Alves $90
Spread: Lions (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.5K—Lions $3.7K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.7K—Saints $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Under $1.6K
Spread: Saints (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $442—Browns $2.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Over $657
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $208
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $1.3K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $345—Over $847
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $400——76ers $155
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $386—Eagles $53
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $261—Samir Banerjee $2
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $95—Over $99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $339K——No $53K
Spread: Saints (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $67K—Browns $19K
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $44K—Broncos $41K
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
—Rams $55K—Rams $14K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $42K—Chiefs $13K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $43K—Lions $2.6K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37KGiants $8.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Lions $11K—Lions $21K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $16K—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Rams $3.5K—Rams $13K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $9.0K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.4K—Under $2.0K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8.0K—Over $124
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $597—Over $6.3K