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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | NM-P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 82% (5526–1224, n=6750) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.7M | $5.3M | $52K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #508 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 70% (169 of 240 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (102 of 157 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 257) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 860) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 21% (won 100% of 888) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
40 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | NM-P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | Yes $231 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.4K | — | Yes $3.7K |
| Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $6.3K | — | Under $76 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | No $1.3K |
| Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $184 | — | No $1.9K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $8 | — | No $1.6K |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $614 | — | No $433 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $967 | — | Yes $79 |
| Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $188 | — | No $770 |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | Miami (FL) $416 | — | Notre Dame $353 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $225 | — | Yes $436 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $163 | — | Seahawks $479 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $259 | — | Yes $266 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3 | — | No $437 |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $218 | — | Rams $193 |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $67 | — | No $194 |
| Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | — | No $37 |
| Nets vs. Hawks opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $2 | — | Nets $140 |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $20K | — | No $27 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $1.2K |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.7K | — | No $1.3K |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $4.5K | — | No $590 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | — | No $1.6K |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | — | No $1.1K |
| Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.3K | — | No $528 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | No $983 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $489 | — | No $1.4K |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | No $779 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $445 | — | No $1.4K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $23 |
| Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | — | Yes $97 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1.3K | — | No $84 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $875 | — | No $200 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $734 | — | No $264 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $498 | — | No $382 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $614 | — | No $256 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $732 | — | No $71 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $458 | — | Under $318 |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $571 | — | No $184 |
| SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $609 | — | Under $101 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $679 | — | No $1 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $539 | — | No $29 |
| Magic vs. Warriors same side · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $180 | — | Warriors $347 |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Warriors $167 | — | Warriors $319 |
| Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $206 | — | No $274 |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $246 | — | No $170 |
| Fresno State vs. Utah State same side · consensus Fresno State | — | Fresno State $145 | — | Fresno State $249 |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $336 | — | No $33 |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $10 | — | Knicks $323 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $295 | — | No $16 |