← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlmostNoAwareness | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (116–72, n=188) | 44% (11385–14473, n=25858) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | -$8.8M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #999 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 60% (60 of 100 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 55% (87 of 158 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Tech −6 pts, n=27 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 159 at avg 65¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 29) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 26% of 19) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 75% of 16) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 87% of 95) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlmostNoAwareness | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $19K | — | Under $4.5K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Jets $5.5K | — | Chiefs $11K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Cowboys $5.9K | — | Colts $6.9K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $11K | — | 76ers $371 |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Under $7.4K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Eagles $53 | — | Giants $8.2K |
| Spread: Lions (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $1.4K | — | Lions $6.6K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $5 | — | Chiefs $6.5K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Jets $1.4K | — | Chiefs $4.8K |
| Spread: Broncos (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Broncos $6.0K | — | Panthers $2 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Jets $53 | — | Chiefs $5.8K |
| Lima: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nicolas Jarry opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Jarry | — | Nicolas Jarry $5.5K | — | Felipe Meligeni Alves $90 |
| Spread: Broncos (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $358 | — | Panthers $5.0K |
| Spread: Saints (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $2.7K | — | Saints $1.4K |
| Spread: Lions (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $1.5K | — | Lions $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: Saints (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Saints $442 | — | Browns $2.4K |
| Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $930 |
| Spread: Broncos (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $1.8K | — | Panthers $244 |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $513 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Over $208 |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $345 | — | Over $847 |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Giants $385 | — | Eagles $53 |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger | — | Mitchell Krueger $263 | — | Samir Banerjee $1 |
| Spread: Giants (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $58 | — | Eagles $154 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $95 | — | Over $99 |
| Broncos vs. Panthers same side · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $57K | — | Broncos $46K |
| Spread: Saints (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Browns $69K | — | Browns $20K |
| Rams vs. Commanders same side · consensus Rams | — | Rams $60K | — | Rams $15K |
| Giants vs. Eagles same side · consensus Eagles | — | Eagles $60K | — | Eagles $10K |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $42K | — | Chiefs $13K |
| Spread: Lions (-7.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $11K | — | Lions $22K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $19K | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968 |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Rams $3.5K | — | Rams $14K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $8.8K | — | Colts $6.9K |
| Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo same side · consensus Aidan Mayo | — | Stefan Kozlov $9.0K | — | Stefan Kozlov $3.2K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.4K | — | Under $2.0K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $8.0K | — | Over $124 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $597 | — | Over $5.0K |
| Spread: Broncos (-5.5) same side · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $6 | — | Broncos $5.3K |
| Spread: Lions (-9.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $48 | — | Dolphins $3.3K |
| Spread: Rams (-2.5) same side · consensus Rams | — | Rams $838 | — | Rams $2.4K |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $26 | — | Over $1.9K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-8.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $248 | — | Chiefs $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $142 |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) same side · consensus Giants | — | Eagles $254 | — | Eagles $758 |
| Panthers vs. Bruins same side · consensus Bruins | — | Panthers $560 | — | Panthers $18 |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand same side · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | — | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $102 | — | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100 |