Panthers vs. Bruins

5 of 19 top Polymarket traders hold Bruins (26%) · Bruins at 59¢ · $61K held · ends Nov 8

Panthers42¢Bruins58¢Ends Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Bruins

Consensus Traders

Bruins 26%

Total Value

$61.4K

Combined PnL

-$125.83

Smart Money Entry

58.1¢ → 58.5¢

+1% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralBruins at 59%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Bruins

5 of 19 top traders (26%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Panthers42%

Bruins59%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Bruins5 traders

Total Value$41.9K

Total Shares71,692

Combined PnL+$286.05

Panthers14 traders

Total Value$19.4K

Total Shares46,751

Combined PnL-$411.88

Bruins — 26%Panthers — 74%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TA taylorsversion	Bruinsavg 58¢	$39.0K	$39.3K	+$336.21	49% 146-149 (295)
0xheavy888CTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$4.7K	$4.6K	-$59.82	56% 8592-6809 (15401)
VeryLucky888CTR	Panthersavg 42.6¢	$4.2K	$4.1K	-$108.77	59% 52299-37045 (89344)
nigiri99CTR	Panthersavg 43¢	$3.0K	$2.9K	-$106.33	45% 14412-17706 (32118)
HI hi774cCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$6.8K	$2.8K	-$33.86	46% 5609-6517 (12126)
80 0x8002...8b6c	Bruinsavg 60.2¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	-$57.95	—
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Panthersavg 43¢	$3.6K	$1.5K	-$54.22	46% 33216-38836 (72052)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$3.6K	$1.5K	-$17.78	54% 19942-16823 (36765)
LI LimousinCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$2.0K	$848.57	-$10.22	49% 2102-2190 (4292)
38 38791873984189	Bruinsavg 58¢	$348	$351	+$3	48% 70219-75923 (146142)
SN SnakeBallCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$683.4	$283.61	-$3.42	50% 48537-48152 (96689)
SE sentrioCTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$551.81	$229	-$2.76	51% 27916-27361 (55277)
DA darkumbreon88	Bruinsavg 58¢	$202.11	$203.85	+$1.74	65% 2130-1169 (3299)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Panthersavg 43.1¢	$203.26	$199.26	-$3.99	50% 23433-23429 (46862)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Panthersavg 42¢	$400	$166	-$2	51% 2075-2021 (4096)
WE westing.v1CTR	Panthersavg 43.5¢	$155.51	$148.44	-$7.07	49% 59-61 (120)
PA Pan9X	Bruinsavg 56.6¢	$115.92	$74.89	+$3.04	52% 27099-24604 (51703)
GH ghorrockCTR	Panthersavg 42.9¢	$101.18	$41.99	-$1.41	57% 24613-18229 (42842)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Panthersavg 43¢	$15	$6.23	-$0.23	52% 9470-8570 (18040)

taylorsversion

Bruins

Invested

$39,000.73

Value

$39.3K

PnL

+$336.21

Record

49%

146-149 (295)

0xheavy888CTR

Panthers

Invested

$4,694.12

Value

$4.6K

PnL

-$59.82

Record

56%

8592-6809 (15401)

VeryLucky888CTR

Panthers

Invested

$4,224.61

Value

$4.1K

PnL

-$108.77

Record

59%

52299-37045 (89344)

nigiri99CTR

Panthers

Invested

$3,048.26

Value

$2.9K

PnL

-$106.33

Record

45%

14412-17706 (32118)

hi774cCTR

Panthers

Invested

$6,771.42

Value

$2.8K

PnL

-$33.86

Record

46%

5609-6517 (12126)

0x8002...8b6c

Bruins

Invested

$2,041

Value

$2.0K

PnL

-$57.95

Record

—

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Panthers

Invested

$3,614.81

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$54.22

Record

46%

33216-38836 (72052)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Panthers

Invested

$3,556.9

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$17.78

Record

54%

19942-16823 (36765)

LimousinCTR

Panthers

Invested

$2,044.74

Value

$848.57

PnL

-$10.22

Record

49%

2102-2190 (4292)

38791873984189

Bruins

Invested

$348

Value

$351

PnL

+$3

Record

48%

70219-75923 (146142)

SnakeBallCTR

Panthers

Invested

$683.4

Value

$283.61

PnL

-$3.42

Record

50%

48537-48152 (96689)

sentrioCTR

Panthers

Invested

$551.81

Value

$229

PnL

-$2.76

Record

51%

27916-27361 (55277)

darkumbreon88

Bruins

Invested

$202.11

Value

$203.85

PnL

+$1.74

Record

65%

2130-1169 (3299)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Panthers

Invested

$203.26

Value

$199.26

PnL

-$3.99

Record

50%

23433-23429 (46862)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

Panthers

Invested

$400

Value

$166

PnL

-$2

Record

51%

2075-2021 (4096)

westing.v1CTR

Panthers

Invested

$155.51

Value

$148.44

PnL

-$7.07

Record

49%

59-61 (120)

Pan9X

Bruins

Invested

$115.92

Value

$74.89

PnL

+$3.04

Record

52%

27099-24604 (51703)

ghorrockCTR

Panthers

Invested

$101.18

Value

$41.99

PnL

-$1.41

Record

57%

24613-18229 (42842)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

Panthers

Invested

$15

Value

$6.23

PnL

-$0.23

Record

52%

9470-8570 (18040)

Research grade

NeutralBruins at 59%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

Bruins

5 of 19 top traders (26%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Bruins wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance60.7%

58.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$64.73

Max Loss

-$100.00

164.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.