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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)48% (12–13, n=25)71% (2093–854, n=2947)54% (448–384, n=832)55% (392–321, n=713)
Consensus PnL$31K$387K$332K$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #836PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (150 of 288 open)67% (91 of 136 open)46% (30 of 65 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 37% of 79)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)24% (won 59% of 138)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)43% (won 72% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)19% (won 98% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $399Heat $1.1KHeat $47
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.1K—Yes $346
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $3.1KNets $14
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.6K—Yes $1.3K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $1.5KVanderbilt $983
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio State
——Ohio State $438Northwestern $1.9K
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $905—Yes $371
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $946—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
——Mississippi State $392Auburn $370
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $435—Over $11
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $49—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $103—Under $74
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $58Grizzlies $27—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $79Over $3—
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $63Vanderbilt $13
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $8.1K—
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $1.5K
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kennesaw State
——Kennesaw State $2.7KKennesaw State $1.3K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $2.3KBrowns $1.1K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KUnder $200
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
——Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542
Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.5K—Yes $102
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.7KUnder $5
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K—
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
—Northwestern $30Northwestern $911—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6Over $870
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $263South Carolina $542
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
——BYU $297BYU $355
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $459Pelicans $96
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
——Texas A&M $23Texas A&M $524
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6—Georgia State $520
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
——Kraken $41Kraken $51
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $44—Yes $3