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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | dwarfwow | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | no settled market | 75% (596–198, n=794) | 68% (360–171, n=531) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | — | $19K | -$115K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | — | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (11 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (134 of 226 open) | 63% (95 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | — | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | — | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | — | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | — | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | — | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
58 on the same side, 57 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | dwarfwow | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $127K | — | Magic $192 | Kings $68 |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $17K | — | Jazz $747 | Heat $680 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | Magic $835 | Magic $178 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $29 | — | Jazz $323 | Heat $659 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | Jazz $465 | Heat $265 |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $50K | — | Heat $7.2K | Heat $13K |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $1.5K | — | Suns $5.9K | Suns $9.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $73 | — | 76ers $44 | 76ers $873 |
| San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $31K | — | San Diego Toreros $156 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $6.5K | 76ers $160 |
| Spread: Magic (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $4.5K | Magic $220 |
| Spread: Celtics (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $2.5K | Celtics $5 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.0K | Under $165 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $123 | — | — | Bowling Green $1.9K |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $1.6K | 76ers $351 |
| W75 Brisbane: Yuki Naito vs Mei Yamaguchi opposite sides · consensus Yuki Naito | — | — | Mei Yamaguchi $808 | Yuki Naito $1.2K |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $1.2K | Kings $204 |
| Spread: Suns (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $1.4K | Suns $10 |
| W75 Brisbane: Eva Bennemann vs Sijia Wei opposite sides · consensus Sijia Wei | — | — | Sijia Wei $1.2K | Eva Bennemann $175 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 243.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Over $11 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $768 | Under $400 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $209 | Under $952 |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $1.1K | 76ers $32 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $199 | Under $878 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $789 | Over $198 |
| Spread: Heat (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Jazz $614 | Heat $334 |
| Spread: Heat (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Heat $677 | Jazz $232 |
| Spread: Suns (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $824 | Suns $25 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $273 | Under $560 |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Heat $555 | Jazz $149 |
| Spread: Suns (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $637 | Suns $10 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $218 | Under $395 |
| Spread: Heat (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $318 | Heat $267 |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | Celtics $474 | 76ers $87 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 210.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $449 | Under $77 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 205.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $522 | Under $4 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 256.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $38 | Under $472 |
| Spread: Jazz (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $480 | Jazz $23 |
| Spread: Heat (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Heat $324 | Jazz $177 |
| Spread: Magic (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Magic $365 | Kings $94 |
| Spread: Heat (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $346 | Heat $113 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $5 | Over $438 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $336 | Over $97 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 202.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $47 | Over $378 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 212.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $337 | Under $72 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $227 | Over $171 |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Clippers $61 | Suns $260 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $43 | Under $268 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Clippers $109 | Suns $191 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 201.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $277 | Under $2 |