Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Jazz — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Jazz
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
Resolved Jazz. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Jazz. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Jazz 47%
5 arb excluded
$18.7K
$2.5K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 16 top traders (50%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ARB<$100 | Heatavg 56¢ | $5.4K | $5.3K | -$112.1 | 55% 541-436 (977) |
| └ Jazz leg | Jazzavg 36.8¢ | $2.0K | $5.3K | +$3.4K | |
| └ Heat leg | Heatavg 56¢ | $3.5K | — | $-3.5K | |
FL Flaznorp | Jazzavg 46.4¢ | $3.8K | $5.7K | +$1.9K | 50% 1618-1607 (3225) |
 RN1 | Jazzavg 60.5¢ | $2.1K | $2.4K | +$298.26 | 58% 3865-2855 (6720) |
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100 | Heatavg 56¢ | $2.3K | $985.49 | $-1.3K | 51% 3187-3102 (6289) |
| └ Heat leg | Heatavg 56¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | |
| └ Jazz leg | Jazzavg 48.9¢ | $481.83 | $985.49 | +$503.66 | |
LI LightParadox | Jazzavg 47.8¢ | $751.13 | $1.5K | +$711.01 | 29% 315-788 (1103) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100 | Heatavg 49.8¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$53.65 | 54% 1691-1468 (3159) |
| └ Jazz leg | Jazzavg 51.2¢ | $560.19 | $1.1K | +$533.63 | |
| └ Heat leg | Heatavg 49.8¢ | $587.28 | — | -$587.28 | |
TA takeormake | Jazzavg 30.6¢ | $321.27 | $876.35 | +$555.08 | 58% 3133-2226 (5359) |
MA MadridTimeARB<$100 | Jazzavg 46.1¢ | $367.84 | $538.08 | +$170.24 | 29% 322-773 (1095) |
| └ Jazz leg | Jazzavg 46.1¢ | $247.96 | $538.08 | +$290.12 | |
| └ Heat leg | Heatavg 31.5¢ | $119.88 | — | -$119.88 | |
LI LimousinARB<$100 | Heatavg 30.3¢ | $184.97 | $155 | -$29.97 | 29% 329-806 (1135) |
| └ Jazz leg | Jazzavg 50¢ | $77.5 | $155 | +$77.5 | |
| └ Heat leg | Heatavg 30.3¢ | $107.47 | — | -$107.47 | |
SU suitcase6628CTR | Heatavg 57.1¢ | $197.75 | — | -$197.75 | 64% 188-108 (296) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Heatavg 44.5¢ | $126.9 | — | -$126.9 | 48% 1027-1110 (2137) |
SU SunlineTickerCTR | Heatavg 34.9¢ | $107.23 | — | -$107.23 | 70% 1660-708 (2368) |
CI cigarettes | Jazzavg 72¢ | $72 | $100 | +$28 | 53% 5575-4959 (10534) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR | Heatavg 67.2¢ | $166 | — | -$166 | 62% 2389-1477 (3866) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Heatavg 49.4¢ | $52.5 | — | -$41.03 | 49% 498-518 (1016) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Jazzavg 70¢ | $30.8 | $44 | +$13.2 | 49% 200-208 (408) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375<$100 | Jazzavg 49¢ | $20.76 | $42.37 | +$21.61 | 53% 228-199 (427) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Heatavg 49¢ | $51.38 | — | -$51.38 | 35% 279-508 (787) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Heatavg 30¢ | $23.41 | — | -$23.41 | 28% 317-800 (1117) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Heatavg 71¢ | $6.82 | — | -$6.82 | 33% 160-331 (491) |
 ZaiZoiBele | Jazzavg 68¢ | $475.75 | $0.02 | -$293.81 | 10% 26-223 (249) |
Invested
$5,440.26
Value
$5.3K
PnL
-$112.1
Record
55%
541-436 (977)
Both legs:
Invested
$3,788.41
Value
$5.7K
PnL
+$1.9K
Record
50%
1618-1607 (3225)
RN1Invested
$2,131.63
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$298.26
Record
58%
3865-2855 (6720)
Invested
$2,280.21
Value
$985.49
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
51%
3187-3102 (6289)
Both legs:
Invested
$751.13
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$711.01
Record
29%
315-788 (1103)
Invested
$1,147.47
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$53.65
Record
54%
1691-1468 (3159)
Both legs:
Invested
$321.27
Value
$876.35
PnL
+$555.08
Record
58%
3133-2226 (5359)
Invested
$367.84
Value
$538.08
PnL
+$170.24
Record
29%
322-773 (1095)
Both legs:
Invested
$184.97
Value
$155
PnL
-$29.97
Record
29%
329-806 (1135)
Both legs:
Invested
$197.75
Value
—
PnL
-$197.75
Record
64%
188-108 (296)
Invested
$126.9
Value
—
PnL
-$126.9
Record
48%
1027-1110 (2137)
Invested
$107.23
Value
—
PnL
-$107.23
Record
70%
1660-708 (2368)
Invested
$72
Value
$100
PnL
+$28
Record
53%
5575-4959 (10534)
Invested
$166
Value
—
PnL
-$166
Record
62%
2389-1477 (3866)
Invested
$52.5
Value
—
PnL
-$41.03
Record
49%
498-518 (1016)
Invested
$30.8
Value
$44
PnL
+$13.2
Record
49%
200-208 (408)
Invested
$20.76
Value
$42.37
PnL
+$21.61
Record
53%
228-199 (427)
Invested
$51.38
Value
—
PnL
-$51.38
Record
35%
279-508 (787)
Invested
$23.41
Value
—
PnL
-$23.41
Record
28%
317-800 (1117)
Invested
$6.82
Value
—
PnL
-$6.82
Record
33%
160-331 (491)
ZaiZoiBeleInvested
$475.75
Value
$0.02
PnL
-$293.81
Record
10%
26-223 (249)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Flaznorp
Jazz — $5.7K
RN1
Jazz — $2.4K
6512395314597884
ARBArbitrage — excluded
LightParadox
Jazz — $1.5K
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
ARBArbitrage — excluded
takeormake
Jazz — $876.35
MadridTime
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Limousin
ARBArbitrage — excluded
suitcase6628
CTRHeat — $0