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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)48% (41–44, n=85)75% (510–174, n=684)no settled market73% (221–81, n=302)
Consensus PnL-$367K$59K—-$1.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #36PM monthly #21PM monthly #158was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus59% (10 of 17 open)65% (122 of 188 open)no open consensus position59% (119 of 203 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21Soccer −8 pts, n=40NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)34% (won 10% of 30)19% (won 10% of 96)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 29% of 17)21% (won 35% of 105)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)13% (won 55% of 11)27% (won 54% of 132)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 91% of 163)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

60 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1Pan9X
Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Barrios
Tomas Barrios $27KTomas Barrios $1.8K—Juan Pablo Varillas $22
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $17KBucks $258—Knicks $24
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.9KMagic $206—Magic $11
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $1.1KBucks $246—Knicks $55
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $9.3KHeat $5.7K—Heat $49
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $17K——Heat $60
Bucks vs. Knicks
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bucks $7.5K——Knicks $53
Spread: Jazz (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $767—Jazz $5
Seahawks vs. Raiders
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $549—Raiders $15
Brisbane 3: Matthew Dellavedova vs Sebastian Gorzny
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
—Sebastian Gorzny $423—Matthew Dellavedova $23
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $289—Under $46
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida State Seminoles
—Florida Gators $281—Florida State Seminoles $22
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $248—76ers $38
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
Kent State $207——Bowling Green $73
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $225—Heat $32
Spread: Baylor Bears (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Yale Bulldogs
—Yale Bulldogs $246—Baylor Bears $9
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Memphis Tigers
—Vanderbilt Commodores $183—Memphis Tigers $22
Spread: Heat (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Jazz $187—Heat $13
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 200.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $196—Under $3
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $61—Under $129
Spread: Heat (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $154—Heat $24
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
—Saint Louis Billikens $112—Northern Kentucky Norse $4
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks
opposite sides · consensus Kansas Jayhawks
—Kansas Jayhawks $110—Kentucky Wildcats $2
Wright State Raiders vs. Toledo Rockets
opposite sides · consensus Toledo Rockets
—Wright State Raiders $97—Toledo Rockets $3
Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Gators
—Florida State Seminoles $29—Florida Gators $48
Commanders vs. Giants
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $23—Commanders $39
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Duke Blue Devils
—Michigan State Spartans $34—Duke Blue Devils $25
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $15—49ers $44
Brisbane 3: August Holmgren vs Christopher O'Connell
opposite sides · consensus August Holmgren
—August Holmgren $11—Christopher O'Connell $40
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 209.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14—Over $31
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $25—Over $19
Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rutgers Scarlet Knights
—NJIT Highlanders $6—Rutgers Scarlet Knights $29
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $11—Magic $16
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Davidson Wildcats
—Davidson Wildcats $5—Bradley Braves $21
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan State Spartans
—Duke Blue Devils $7—Michigan State Spartans $18
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $2—Magic $22
South Alabama Jaguars vs. UCF Knights
opposite sides · consensus UCF Knights
—South Alabama Jaguars $1—UCF Knights $19
Army Black Knights vs. New Haven Chargers
opposite sides · consensus New Haven Chargers
—Army Black Knights $11—New Haven Chargers $9
Nicholls Colonels vs. Tulane Green Wave
opposite sides · consensus Tulane Green Wave
—Tulane Green Wave $8—Nicholls Colonels $2
Creighton Bluejays vs. Kansas State Wildcats
opposite sides · consensus Kansas State Wildcats
—Creighton Bluejays $3—Kansas State Wildcats $3
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $19K——Over $40
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7.0K——Over $41
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $1.2K—Trail Blazers $71
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 197.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $815—Over $92
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—76ers $853—76ers $32
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Troy Trojans
same side · consensus Troy Trojans
—Loyola Marymount Lions $714—Loyola Marymount Lions $85
Delaware State Hornets vs. Georgetown Hoyas
same side · consensus Georgetown Hoyas
—Georgetown Hoyas $685—Georgetown Hoyas $52
Spread: Jazz (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $632—Heat $15
Brisbane 3: James McCabe vs Jan Kumstat
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
—Jan Kumstat $580—Jan Kumstat $32
Detroit Titans vs. Xavier Musketeers
same side · consensus Xavier Musketeers
—Xavier Musketeers $448—Xavier Musketeers $27