Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Bradley Braves — but Davidson Wildcats won instead.
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-11.5)
Resolved Davidson Wildcats. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Bradley Braves. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Bradley Braves 13%
1 arb excluded
$804.79
$58.38
Smart Money Signal
2 of 9 top traders (22%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Davidson Wildcatsavg 44.3¢ | $153.61 | $347 | +$193.39 | 48% 969-1052 (2021) |
TA takeormakeCTR | Bradley Bravesavg 56.8¢ | $381.58 | — | -$381.58 | 59% 3119-2207 (5326) |
SU suitcase6628 | Davidson Wildcatsavg 39¢ | $62.4 | $160 | +$97.6 | 64% 180-100 (280) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | Davidson Wildcatsavg 46¢ | $43.11 | $88 | +$44.89 | 57% 3075-2312 (5387) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100 | Davidson Wildcatsavg 40¢ | $33.16 | $82.9 | +$49.74 | 25% 120-355 (475) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Davidson Wildcatsavg 50.3¢ | $72.94 | $76.12 | +$44.34 | 49% 450-474 (924) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100 | Bradley Bravesavg 60¢ | $53.18 | $33.44 | -$19.74 | 54% 1662-1438 (3100) |
| └ Davidson Wildcats leg | Davidson Wildcatsavg 39¢ | $13.04 | $33.44 | +$20.4 | |
| └ Bradley Braves leg | Bradley Bravesavg 60¢ | $40.14 | — | -$40.14 | |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Davidson Wildcatsavg 42¢ | $5.18 | $12.33 | +$7.15 | 50% 1562-1566 (3128) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Davidson Wildcatsavg 43¢ | $2.15 | $5 | +$2.85 | 26% 185-522 (707) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Bradley Braves | — | — | +$0 | 100% 71-0 (71) |
Invested
$153.61
Value
$347
PnL
+$193.39
Record
48%
969-1052 (2021)
Invested
$381.58
Value
—
PnL
-$381.58
Record
59%
3119-2207 (5326)
Invested
$62.4
Value
$160
PnL
+$97.6
Record
64%
180-100 (280)
Invested
$43.11
Value
$88
PnL
+$44.89
Record
57%
3075-2312 (5387)
Invested
$33.16
Value
$82.9
PnL
+$49.74
Record
25%
120-355 (475)
Invested
$72.94
Value
$76.12
PnL
+$44.34
Record
49%
450-474 (924)
Invested
$53.18
Value
$33.44
PnL
-$19.74
Record
54%
1662-1438 (3100)
Both legs:
Invested
$5.18
Value
$12.33
PnL
+$7.15
Record
50%
1562-1566 (3128)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.85
Record
26%
185-522 (707)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
100%
71-0 (71)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
38791873984189
Davidson Wildcats — $347
takeormake
CTRBradley Braves — $0
suitcase6628
Davidson Wildcats — $160
HomeRunHazard
Davidson Wildcats — $88
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Davidson Wildcats — $82.9
Pan9X
Davidson Wildcats — $76.12
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Flaznorp
Davidson Wildcats — $12.33
ameisgoat11
Davidson Wildcats — $5
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
CTRBradley Braves — $0