Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsaveme
Record (consensus markets)55% (24–20, n=44)70% (3024–1268, n=4292)47% (705–782, n=1487)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL$829K$518K$825K-$1.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #9PM monthly #15was PM monthly #684
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)59% (174 of 297 open)61% (54 of 89 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=612——
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 6% of 540)5% (won 100% of 23)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢61% (won 100% of 14)24% (won 38% of 322)34% (won 100% of 159)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 62% of 152)52% (won 100% of 243)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 319)9% (won 100% of 42)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsaveme
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1649ers $183K—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $23KOver $10K—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22KUnder $2.8K—
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5Over $22K—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $717Over $12K—
Will Spain vs. England end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7.1KNo $1.9K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $435Knicks $8.6K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $138Wizards $8.0K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $2Lakers $7.6K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $4.8KMavericks $1.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $82Lakers $5.7K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $366Jazz $5.3K—
Will Croatia vs. Czechia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.5KYes $47—
Champaign: David Bakonyi vs Axel Nefve
opposite sides · consensus Axel Nefve
—Axel Nefve $907David Bakonyi $1.6K—
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus High Point Panthers
—High Point Panthers $1.7KSaint Louis Billikens $543—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $165Hawks $2.0K—
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
—Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons $2.1KEastern Illinois Panthers $4—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $809Over $652—
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $13—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $841—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $141Under $590—
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
—Missouri Tigers $25Marquette Golden Eagles $162—
Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $71Yes $9—
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $128KYes $4.0K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $624Seahawks $43K—
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $31KYes $3.0K—
Will Spain win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $28KNo $6.1K—
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $1.8K—
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
same side · consensus Croatia
—Czechia $5.7KCzechia $8.3K—
Will France vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $13KNo $883—
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6KNo $3.3K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $125Suns $6.0K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $11Over $3.9K—
Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1KNo $850—
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
same side · consensus Gladiators Trier
—Gladiators Trier $593Gladiators Trier $360—
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
—Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $916—
Will CD Godoy Cruz win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $703Yes $54—
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 159.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21Under $680—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $298Under $6—
Will CD Godoy Cruz vs. CSD Tristan Suarez end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $83No $67—
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
same side · consensus Texas Longhorns
—Texas Longhorns $45Texas Longhorns $4—
Chemnitz 99 vs. Basketball Loewen Braunschweig
same side · consensus Chemnitz 99
—Basketball Loewen Braunschweig $24Basketball Loewen Braunschweig $24—