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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)53% (516–456, n=972)
Consensus PnL$15K$482K$362K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #11PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (99 of 189 open)67% (98 of 146 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketetthhhhFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $7.4KGrizzlies $83K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $412Nets $15K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5.1KUnder $8.4K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.5KNets $9.1K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $2.2KBulls $9.1K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.9K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $730Nets $7.5K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.9KUnder $4.6K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.0KUnder $5.1K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $421Pistons $4.0K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $646Under $1.7K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $976Over $1.2K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.1KUnder $423
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $754Pistons $199
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $357Over $405
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
—Little Rock Trojans $4Northwestern State Demons $508
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $24Over $445
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11Under $452
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Utah $231
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $241
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $21North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $82Nets $8
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $15
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $4Pistons $9
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $25K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $117Under $14K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $1.1KHeat $7.4K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $2.2KHeat $6.0K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.7KBulls $2.0K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.4KOver $4.7K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $1.2K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $3.9K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KOver $2.5K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $2.9K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $79Under $910
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $573Over $147
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $149Pistons $6