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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188etthhhhFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (1–0, n=1)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)52% (527–481, n=1008)
Consensus PnL$856K$15K$502K$370K
Tracked asPM monthly #24was PM monthly #779PM monthly #11PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position54% (100 of 185 open)65% (89 of 136 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢0%—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188etthhhhFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $3.4K—Nets $626Grizzlies $88K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $19K—Heat $2.2KHeat $8.4K
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $1.7KNets $40K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5.5KUnder $5.6K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $4.1K——Flames $3.6K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.1KUnder $2.6K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $422Pistons $2.3K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.0KOver $936
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
——Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $616
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KUnder $214
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $798Over $352
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $731Pistons $157
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $28Over $532
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
——Little Rock Trojans $9Northwestern State Demons $405
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
——Montana Grizzlies $20North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
——Arizona $23Utah $234
Furman Paladins vs. Belmont Bruins: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9Over $95
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $76Nets $2
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $54Nets $16
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $5Pistons $5
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $28K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $6.5KBulls $13K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $205Under $14K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
——Heat $1.0KHeat $10K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $4.6KBulls $2.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $5.1K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $3.6K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KOver $966
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KOver $2.6K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $931Under $3.7K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
——Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $2.8K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $29Under $991
Spread: Nets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $613Grizzlies $150
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $575Over $164
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $145Pistons $3