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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | shineforeverr | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2090–853, n=2943) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 55% (392–321, n=713) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $388K | $332K | $426K | $318 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #251 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (113 of 220 open) | 67% (82 of 123 open) | 43% (29 of 68 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 37% of 79) | 25% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 32% (won 100% of 68) | 24% (won 59% of 138) | 50% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 60% (won 100% of 127) | 43% (won 72% of 243) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 7% (won 100% of 15) | 19% (won 98% of 107) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | shineforeverr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $388 | Heat $1.1K | Heat $46 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 | — |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.5K | — | Yes $346 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.2K | Under $2.4K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | UConn $2.1K | James Madison $1.3K | — |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.6K | — | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Alabama $1.5K | Vanderbilt $983 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $2.4K | Mavericks $90 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $13 | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $909 | — | Yes $374 | — |
| Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $14 | Under $986 | — | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | — | Mississippi State $392 | Auburn $370 | — |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs opposite sides · consensus FURIA | FURIA $21 | — | Team Falcons $731 | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $398 | — | Over $11 | — |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Duke | Duke $356 | Miami (FL) $48 | — | — |
| Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $108 | — | Under $74 | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $62 | Vanderbilt $13 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $6.1K | Pelicans $7.9K | — | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $6.4K | Indiana $911 | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | — | Kennesaw State $2.2K | Kennesaw State $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $2.3K | Browns $1.1K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | Under $200 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $2.1K | Vanderbilt $542 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — | — |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.7K | Under $5 | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | Falcons $174 | Falcons $1.2K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $26 | Texas Tech $1.2K | — | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $6 | Over $870 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | — | South Carolina $263 | South Carolina $542 | — |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | — | BYU $297 | BYU $355 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $459 | Pelicans $96 | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | — | Texas A&M $23 | Texas A&M $524 | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia State $5 | — | Georgia State $512 | — |
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes same side · consensus Hurricanes | — | Kraken $41 | Kraken $51 | — |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | Yes $3 | — |