
Known as shineforever since Nov 14 2026 · Previously known as: shineforever (Nov 9 – Nov 14 2026)
Consensus PnL $318 · win rate 75% (6–2, n=8) · PM monthly #251 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$317.61
Record
6W / 2L
Win Rate
75.0%
of 8 settled
Batting Avg
57.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#499
Source
PM monthly #251
Record (90 d)
6/8 · 75%
Trades
98
Markets
13
Volume
$11.7K
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Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 25% at an average entry of 48¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where shineforever's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 25%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 50%(won 0% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 25%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.