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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026hell0piaRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)59% (71–49, n=120)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$116K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #797PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)59% (48 of 82 open)71% (5 of 7 open)56% (70 of 126 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NBA −32 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%60% of 119 at avg 58¢, ROI +7%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)18% (won 29% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)12% (won 50% of 14)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)36% (won 63% of 43)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)34% (won 76% of 41)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026hell0piaRN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $369KTexans $37K—Texans $4.7K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190KEagles $60K—Eagles $12K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208KOver $19K—Under $4.5K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142KBulls $11K—76ers $613
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $107KTexans $37K—Texans $1.4K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101KCowboys $210—Cowboys $4.3K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68KEagles $53—Giants $8.3K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67KGiants $61—Eagles $638
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13KCommanders $14K—Rams $8.8K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11KEagles $195—Eagles $867
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KCowboys $19K——
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $13KPatriots $26K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K——No $16K
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Cowboys $5.9K—Colts $6.9K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $229Patriots $10K——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Under $7.7K
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $6.0K—Panthers $2
Lima: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nicolas Jarry
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Jarry
—Nicolas Jarry $5.5K—Felipe Meligeni Alves $90
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.7K—Saints $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Saints (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $442—Browns $2.4K
Spread: Broncos (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.7K—Panthers $555
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Over $283
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $208
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $1.3K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $400——76ers $155
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $385—Eagles $53
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $59K—Broncos $38K
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
—Rams $61K—Rams $25K
Spread: Saints (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $65K—Browns $19K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37KGiants $8.0K——
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20K—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $17K—Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Rams $3.5K—Rams $15K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14K——Bulls $99
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.7K—Under $5.4K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.1K—Over $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.4K—Under $2.0K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $7.2K—Over $2.1K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8.0K—Over $164
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $597—Over $6.0K
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K——Browns $311
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $4.4KChargers $6——
Spread: Rams (-2.5)
same side · consensus Rams
—Rams $838—Rams $2.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $26—Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $142
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
same side · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100