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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (15683–15768, n=31451)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$4.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #96PM monthly #172
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)69% (246 of 356 open)71% (58 of 82 open)60% (125 of 209 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)8% (won 61% of 889)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)21% (won 87% of 2410)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)38% (won 95% of 4354)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 99% of 3754)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

63 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daa
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $30KOver $42K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.8K—Yes $27
Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $188—No $4.5K
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $431—Yes $4.2K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Under $2.5K
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $2.8K
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
—AIK $2.4K—BK Hacken $1.4K
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.4K—No $479
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K——Yes $169
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4K—Yes $77
Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.3K—Yes $930
D.C. United SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $655—Over $1.5K
Will FC Halifax Town win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $899
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $16
Will Notts County FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $19—No $1.4K
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $726—Under $202
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $539—Yes $348
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $300—Under $585
Will Kansas City Current win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $687—Yes $147
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $648—Yes $157
Galatasaray SK vs. Amed Sportif: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $377—Over $295
Hednesford Town vs. Morecambe FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $128—Under $444
Spread: FK Dinamo Moskva (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Fakel Voronezh
—FK Fakel Voronezh $290—FK Dinamo Moskva $230
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Valencia CF
—Valencia CF $422—Real Madrid CF $43
Will CDT Real Oruro win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $346—Yes $70
Will Tartu JK Tammeka win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $393—Yes $2
Will Gornik Zabrze win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $348—Yes $10
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $346—Yes $3
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $240—Over $37
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $163—Seahawks $14
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $77—No $97
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $137—Yes $35
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $125—Over $20
FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $84—No $24
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $88—Yes $3
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $76—Over $7
W15 Szabolcsveresmart: Melinda Biro vs Emese Serkedi
opposite sides · consensus Emese Serkedi
—Melinda Biro $22—Emese Serkedi $41
Nets vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $2—Nets $49
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $43—Over $2
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12—No $33
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Hull City AFC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20—Yes $16
Sporting CP vs. Moreirense FC: Sporting CP O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $23—Over $5
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $21—Yes $7
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: AS Roma O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4—Over $11
Will FK Transinvest vs. FK Kauno Zalgiris end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7—Yes $2
IFK Varnamo vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4—No $4
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $21K—No $12K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K——Yes $131
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20K——Yes $275