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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)57% (28–21, n=49)92% (11–1, n=12)53% (307–269, n=576)46% (323–386, n=709)
Consensus PnL$758K$5.8K$308K$250K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #885PM monthly #7PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus52% (12 of 23 open)83% (30 of 36 open)67% (94 of 141 open)62% (67 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=22, ROI +45%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%—100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢0%—1% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢48% (won 100% of 15)—30% (won 100% of 49)39% (won 100% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 14)—62% (won 100% of 101)47% (won 100% of 108)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 2)—8% (won 100% of 13)7% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $380K—Commanders $2.6KCommanders $79K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $230—Raptors $2176ers $33K
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5.5K—Under $6.8KUnder $7.3K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $144K——Commanders $40K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $110K——76ers $40K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $134K——76ers $2.6K
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Mavericks $68Timberwolves $53K
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $31K——76ers $1.9K
Spread: Memphis (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Memphis
——Memphis $98South Florida $12K
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $7.6KSuns $5
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $6Mavericks $7.1K
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Wizards $2.1KPistons $4.5K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——76ers $3.1KRaptors $2.9K
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1Over $4.9K
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Wizards $2.0KPistons $36
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.0KOver $62
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $823Over $51
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 36.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $146——Under $565
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Raptors $13276ers $204
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars
opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions
——South Alabama Jaguars $300Loyola Marymount Lions $3
Memphis vs. South Florida
opposite sides · consensus Memphis
——Memphis $179South Florida $109
Spread: Louisiana (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisiana
——Louisiana-Monroe $35Louisiana $33
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9—Under $3—
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
——Stars $10KStars $50K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Giants $46K—Giants $612—
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $2.6KPistons $40K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $30K——Raptors $4.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Mavericks $6.4KMavericks $14K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $1.8KHornets $17K
Avalanche vs. Senators
same side · consensus Senators
——Senators $9.4KSenators $3.7K
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets
same side · consensus Lightning
——Blue Jackets $81Blue Jackets $9.6K
Blues vs. Utah
same side · consensus Utah
——Blues $4.9KBlues $4.1K
Islanders vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
——Islanders $49Islanders $8.5K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7.6KUnder $115
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $111——Raptors $5.6K
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $3.6KHornets $2
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Sabres
——Blackhawks $3.3KBlackhawks $164
Spread: UTEP Miners (-4.5)
same side · consensus UTEP Miners
——UTEP Miners $1.5KUTEP Miners $7
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Wild
——Maple Leafs $526Maple Leafs $715
Spread: Memphis (-4.5)
same side · consensus Memphis
——Memphis $267Memphis $283
Canadiens vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $385Canadiens $160
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $21Over $128
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13Over $44
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $7Over $33