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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | Flaznorp | ilyho | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 54% (455–392, n=847) |
| Consensus PnL | $856K | $482K | $19K | $324K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #784 | PM monthly #129 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 53% (109 of 206 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 51% (75 of 146 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | — | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 5% of 409) | — | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 41% of 222) | — | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 100% of 7) | 11% (won 64% of 115) | — | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 27% (won 94% of 271) | — | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | Flaznorp | ilyho | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $1.7K | Nets $2.7K | — | Grizzlies $70K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $16K | Heat $721 | — | Heat $11K |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | — | Sabres $206 | — | Stars $96K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Arizona $23 | — | Utah $14K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $2.5K | — | Nets $10K |
| Flames vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $4.1K | — | — | Flames $6.1K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | — | Nets $4.9K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $730 | — | Nets $5.8K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.6K | — | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $317 | — | Heat $5.2K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $116 | — | Over $2.4K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.0K | — | Under $63 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.8K | — | Under $290 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | — | Under $344 |
| Spread: Nets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $629 | — | Nets $669 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $902 | — | Over $154 |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $260 | — | Oklahoma $507 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $499 | — | Under $125 |
| Spread: Bulls (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $581 | — | Timberwolves $6 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $79 | — | Nets $412 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $408 | — | Nets $80 |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | — | Utah $89 | — | Sharks $4 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $32 | — | Pistons $34 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $911 | — | Bulls $207K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.1K | — | Grizzlies $33K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $7.1K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $4.7K | — | Bulls $1.4K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | — | Texas Tech $384 | — | Texas Tech $5.7K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $3.4K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $2.2K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | — | Arkansas $1.1K | — | Arkansas $1.5K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.7K | — | Bulls $288 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $499 | — | Heat $915 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $187 | — | Under $1.2K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $79 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.2K | — | Bulls $37 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-17.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $742 | — | Bulls $373 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $930 | — | Bulls $66 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $393 | — | Heat $363 |
| UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Luis Gurule | — | Luis Gurule $383 | — | Luis Gurule $80 |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | Montana Grizzlies $21 | — | Montana Grizzlies $170 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | — | Colts $3 |
| Baylor vs. BYU same side · consensus BYU | — | Baylor $17 | — | Baylor $5 |