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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | pleaseletmealone | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 75% (633–207, n=840) | no settled market | 67% (383–189, n=572) |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | $24K | $0 | -$126K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #254 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 57% (94 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (62 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | Elections ±0 pts, n=34 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 2% of 103 at avg 4¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 98% (won 0% of 101) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 0% | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
32 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | pleaseletmealone | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $98K | Jazz $3.0K | — | Jazz $1.8K |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $11K | Over $1.0K | — | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $11K | Magic $351 | — | Kings $740 |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $1.6K | Trail Blazers $2.9K | — | Trail Blazers $207 |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $88K | Heat $25K | — | Heat $19K |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $332 | Trail Blazers $955 | — | Trail Blazers $182 |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $10K | — | — | Heat $696 |
| Spread: Heat (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $5.7K | — | Heat $173 |
| Spread: Heat (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $5.0K | — | Heat $681 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $4.8K | Magic $785 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $4.7K | — | Magic $653 |
| Spread: Heat (-34.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $3.7K | — | Heat $8 |
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $2.2K | — | Jazz $78 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.1K | — | Over $171 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.8K | — | Over $354 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $554 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Jazz (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $1.7K | — | Jazz $7 |
| Spread: Heat (-36.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.5K | — | Heat $4 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $119 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $414 | — | Over $896 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 205.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | — | Under $123 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $12 | — | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $126 | — | Magic $1.1K |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $27 | — | Under $948 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $633 | — | Trail Blazers $237 |
| Spread: Jazz (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $816 | — | Jazz $21 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $15 | — | — | Heat $710 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $112 | — | Under $580 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $48 | — | Under $510 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | — | Heat $527 |
| W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Hikaru Sato opposite sides · consensus Joanna Garland | — | Hikaru Sato $60 | — | Joanna Garland $452 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 256.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Under $475 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $305 | — | Thunder $177 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $287 | — | Over $95 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $48 | — | Under $316 |
| Magic vs. Kings: O/U 193.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $324 | — | Under $1 |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $107 | — | Trail Blazers $163 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $44 | — | Magic $223 |
| Spread: San Francisco Dons (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | Montana Grizzlies $232 | — | San Francisco Dons $12 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $24 | — | Under $208 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $205 | — | Trail Blazers $4 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $8 | — | Under $125 |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $14 | — | Trail Blazers $116 |
| Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-33.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | — | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $4 | — | TCU Horned Frogs $4 |
| Spread: Heat (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $7.7K | — | Heat $1.0K |
| Spread: Heat (-12.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $5.4K | — | Jazz $2.3K |
| Spread: Heat (-28.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $6.1K | — | Jazz $492 |
| Spread: Heat (-32.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $5.1K | — | Jazz $166 |
| Spread: Heat (-26.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $3.8K | — | Jazz $640 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | — | Under $886 |