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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Secondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)48% (435–476, n=911)54% (338–285, n=623)91% (161–15, n=176)
Consensus PnL$449K$411K$947
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #105PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus60% (52 of 86 open)54% (68 of 126 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Secondhandvinyl
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $40KCanucks $530—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $31KKings $3.2K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $23KTrail Blazers $1.1K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14KUnder $117—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Warriors $2.9KSpurs $8.2K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $674Houston $8.1K—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $38Thunder $6.5K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $4.8KOver $128—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.7KOver $5—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $4Over $3.3K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $455Kings $2.4K—
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $36No $1.0K
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $534Over $344—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Jazz $165Rockets $27—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $1—
Jazz vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $89KRockets $36K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $43KUnder $1.7K—
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27KYes $952
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $22KSpurs $1.5K—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Rangers $22KRangers $560—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
UCLA $21KUCLA $1.5K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $11KOver $2.6K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Golden Knights $11KGolden Knights $79—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $724Spurs $9.4K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $795Clippers $8.9K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.6KOver $317—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.9KUnder $872—
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $547Jazz $2.3K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.6KOver $608—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
Colorado $972Colorado $1.0K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5Over $1.9K—
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats
same side · consensus DePaul Blue Demons
DePaul Blue Demons $43DePaul Blue Demons $1.1K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $231Over $800—
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
Clippers $54Clippers $481—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $3Predators $447—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $60—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $6Jazz $31—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $19Over $6—