DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats

10 of 16 top Polymarket traders hold DePaul Blue Demons (63%) · DePaul Blue Demons at 98¢ · $6K held · ended Nov 13

DePaul Blue Demons98¢Northwestern Wildcats2¢Ended Fri, Nov 13, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

DePaul Blue Demons

Consensus Traders

DePaul Blue Demons 63%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.7K

Combined PnL

-$431.78

Smart Money Entry

60.2¢ → 97.5¢

+62% since entry · 10 traders

Research grade

AvoidDePaul Blue Demons at 98%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

DePaul Blue Demons

10 of 16 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

DePaul Blue Demons98%

Northwestern Wildcats3%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

DePaul Blue Demons10 traders

Total Value$3.5K

Total Shares5,072

Combined PnL+$240.06

Northwestern Wildcats6 traders

Total Value$1.5K

Total Shares4,698

Combined PnL-$671.83

DePaul Blue Demons — 63%Northwestern Wildcats — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
nigiri99	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 52¢	$1.2K	$1.1K	-$112.15	52% 499-463 (962)
RN1	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 69.7¢	$926.68	$996.19	+$69.52	56% 5043-4004 (9047)
FO Forecastication2CTR	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 50¢	$998.95	$859.14	-$139.81	45% 224-272 (496)
FL Flaznorp	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 74.3¢	$484.03	$634.75	+$150.72	50% 3526-3585 (7111)
PO PowerSupplyUnitCTR	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 44.3¢	$823.07	$507.68	-$315.38	— 6-5 (11)
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 50¢	$525	$493.08	-$2.24	53% 750-669 (1419)
└ DePaul Blue Demons leg	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 50¢	$234.5	$267.33	+$34.51
└ Northwestern Wildcats leg	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 50¢	$262.5	$225.75	-$36.75
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 51¢	$255	$285	+$30	54% 1316-1100 (2416)
38 38791873984189	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 65.9¢	$240.2	$240.04	+$62.31	48% 2922-3218 (6140)
TH thirdt1me	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 73¢	$266	$195.28	+$26.13	48% 243-263 (506)
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 48¢	$204.59	$184.56	-$20.04	57% 3567-2709 (6276)
└ Northwestern Wildcats leg	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 48¢	$155.04	$138.89	-$16.15
└ DePaul Blue Demons leg	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 51¢	$49.55	$45.67	-$3.89
PA Pan9X<$100	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 65.1¢	$66.82	$58.48	-$8.33	49% 1329-1376 (2705)
poshposhCTR<$100	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 47¢	$77.51	$55.61	-$21.9	48% 1014-1100 (2114)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 57.5¢	$25.91	$42.62	+$16.71	51% 2364-2297 (4661)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 32¢	$118.64	$33.37	-$85.27	37% 497-832 (1329)
VeryLucky888<$100	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 49¢	$28.54	$33.19	+$4.66	53% 1179-1029 (2208)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 33¢	$131	$21.83	-$109.17	44% 118-151 (269)
FE ferdinand2<$100	DePaul Blue Demonsavg 92.5¢	$9.25	$9.75	+$0.5	49% 1865-1975 (3840)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Northwestern Wildcatsavg 49¢	$2.45	$2.15	-$0.3	40% 609-910 (1519)

nigiri99

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$1,166.36

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$112.15

Record

52%

499-463 (962)

RN1

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$926.68

Value

$996.19

PnL

+$69.52

Record

56%

5043-4004 (9047)

Forecastication2CTR

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$998.95

Value

$859.14

PnL

-$139.81

Record

45%

224-272 (496)

Flaznorp

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$484.03

Value

$634.75

PnL

+$150.72

Record

50%

3526-3585 (7111)

PowerSupplyUnitCTR

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$823.07

Value

$507.68

PnL

-$315.38

Record

—

6-5 (11)

NotJumpARB<$100

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$525

Value

$493.08

PnL

-$2.24

Record

53%

750-669 (1419)

Both legs:

DePaul Blue Demons$234.550¢+$34.51

Northwestern Wildcats$262.550¢-$36.75

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$255

Value

$285

PnL

+$30

Record

54%

1316-1100 (2416)

38791873984189

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$240.2

Value

$240.04

PnL

+$62.31

Record

48%

2922-3218 (6140)

thirdt1me

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$266

Value

$195.28

PnL

+$26.13

Record

48%

243-263 (506)

HomeRunHazardARB<$100

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$204.59

Value

$184.56

PnL

-$20.04

Record

57%

3567-2709 (6276)

Both legs:

Northwestern Wildcats$155.0448¢-$16.15

DePaul Blue Demons$49.5551¢-$3.89

Pan9X<$100

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$66.82

Value

$58.48

PnL

-$8.33

Record

49%

1329-1376 (2705)

poshposhCTR<$100

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$77.51

Value

$55.61

PnL

-$21.9

Record

48%

1014-1100 (2114)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$25.91

Value

$42.62

PnL

+$16.71

Record

51%

2364-2297 (4661)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$118.64

Value

$33.37

PnL

-$85.27

Record

37%

497-832 (1329)

VeryLucky888<$100

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$28.54

Value

$33.19

PnL

+$4.66

Record

53%

1179-1029 (2208)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$131

Value

$21.83

PnL

-$109.17

Record

44%

118-151 (269)

ferdinand2<$100

DePaul Blue Demons

Invested

$9.25

Value

$9.75

PnL

+$0.5

Record

49%

1865-1975 (3840)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

Northwestern Wildcats

Invested

$2.45

Value

$2.15

PnL

-$0.3

Record

40%

609-910 (1519)

Research grade

AvoidDePaul Blue Demons at 98%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

DePaul Blue Demons

10 of 16 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that DePaul Blue Demons wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance98.6%

97.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$1.45

Max Loss

-$100.00

101.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.