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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Secondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)48% (446–481, n=927)54% (345–290, n=635)59% (40–28, n=68)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$521K$403K$532K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #105PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus51% (40 of 78 open)54% (62 of 115 open)50% (6 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Secondhandvinyl
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Clippers $308Clippers $488Thunder $260K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $943Clippers $9.6KThunder $7.5K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Warriors $241Spurs $8.3KWarriors $3.4K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $39KCanucks $29——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $31KKings $2.4K——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $22KTrail Blazers $1.6K——
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17KUnder $116——
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $699Houston $9.0K——
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $4Over $3.2K——
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $847Over $344——
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $384Thunder $49——
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Jazz $372Rockets $24——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $1——
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
—Team Falcons $978Team Falcons $136K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $50KUnder $1.8K——
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $326Gen.G $43K—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Rangers $35KRangers $1.2K——
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $24KSpurs $2.1K——
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
UCLA $21KUCLA $1.5K——
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Golden Knights $11KGolden Knights $79——
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $746Spurs $9.6K——
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.4KOver $305——
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $823Jazz $1.7K——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2Over $1.2K——
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $3Predators $458——
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $57——
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $10Jazz $51——
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $23Under $13——