Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #114PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (55 of 96 open)73% (73 of 100 open)59% (23 of 39 open)54% (79 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1primmRN1
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $44K—Panthers $6.6KBroncos $41K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $52K—Commanders $285Rams $14K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $19K—Over $6.8KUnder $4.4K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $3.5K—Commanders $133Rams $13K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.4K—Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $53—Eagles $131Giants $7.7K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $597—Under $97Over $6.9K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.1K—Under $4.6KOver $142
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $26—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $95—Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $2.7K—Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $924Over $657
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6—Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $42K—Chiefs $48KChiefs $13K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $41K—Lions $47KLions $2.6K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
Eagles $605—Eagles $3.4KEagles $641
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $21K—Colts $5.7K—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $5.5K——Chiefs $11K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9.1K—Under $6.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Cowboys $5.9K——Colts $6.5K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $11K——76ers $371
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $6.5K
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $5——Chiefs $6.5K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.0K—Under $5.3K—
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Broncos $6.0K——Panthers $2
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $53——Chiefs $5.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $1.4K——Chiefs $4.4K
Lima: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Nicolas Jarry
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Jarry
Nicolas Jarry $5.5K——Felipe Meligeni Alves $90
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $94Cowboys $4.7K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Rams $3.9K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Lions (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $1.5K——Lions $1.8K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.3K——Under $1.6K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Over $208
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $345——Over $847
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $385——Eagles $131
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $332—Colts $76—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
Mitchell Krueger $251——Samir Banerjee $2
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $54——Eagles $59
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K—49ers $40K—
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
Lions $6.1K——Lions $15K
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $11KDolphins $3.1K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
Stefan Kozlov $9.0K——Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $8.0K——Over $124
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $5.3K——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968
Spread: Rams (-2.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Rams $838——Rams $2.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 28.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.5K——Under $1.3K