← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (202–76, n=278) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.8K | $430K | $290K | $152K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #31 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (159 of 267 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 64% (104 of 163 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NBA −1 pts, n=90 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 39% of 175 at avg 39¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 7% of 85) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 70% of 27) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
41 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | juice-fruit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Spurs $3 | Bulls $112K | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Warriors $2 | — | Rockets $31K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $39 | — | Over $18K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4 | — | Over $8.2K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $405 | — | Over $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $13 | — | Pelicans $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $32 | — | Bucks $984 | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2 | — | Under $787 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $13 | — | Magic $391 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $26 | — | Under $299 | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $18 | — | Under $290 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $2 | — | Magic $212 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2 | — | Under $153 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $7 | — | Nuggets $49 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Nuggets $14 | — | Grizzlies $29 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $31 | — | Under $10 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | — | Under $12 | — |
| Spread: IU Indy Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus IU Indy Jaguars | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $10 | — | IU Indy Jaguars $3 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Spurs $2 | — | Bulls $5 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $9 | — | Under $49K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Lakers $25 | — | Lakers $20K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nuggets $49 | — | Nuggets $15K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Magic $354 | — | Magic $12K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $70 | — | Over $12K | — |
| Rangers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $76 | — | Under $11K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $136 | — | Bulls $11K | — |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $41 | — | Under $7.3K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $50 | — | Over $7.2K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $160 | — | Over $7.0K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $32 | — | Vikings $6.3K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $44 | — | Vikings $5.6K | — |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | Flyers $6 | — | Flyers $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $1 | — | Bucks $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $90 | — | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Magic $31 | — | Magic $4.0K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Bulls $69 | — | Bulls $3.3K | — |
| Penguins vs. Sharks same side · consensus Penguins | Sharks $64 | — | Sharks $2.9K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $10 | — | Under $2.9K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $15 | — | Over $2.7K | — |
| Penguins vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $39 | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $19 | — | Under $1.7K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $11 | — | Over $1.6K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $15 | — | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos same side · consensus Nevada Wolf Pack | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $41 | — | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos $1.4K | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $14 | — | Over $1.4K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators same side · consensus Avalanche | Senators $76 | — | Senators $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $49 | — | Grizzlies $1.3K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $56 | — | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) same side · consensus Kraken | Kraken $37 | — | Kraken $862 | — |
| Spread: Boise State Broncos (-16.5) same side · consensus Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Boise State Broncos $41 | — | Boise State Broncos $814 | — |