← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (3024–1268, n=4292) | 53% (542–483, n=1025) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $518K | $643K | -$1.5K | $530K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #98 | was PM monthly #684 | PM monthly #44 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (174 of 298 open) | 60% (58 of 97 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 20% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 0% | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $16 | 49ers $101K | — | Cowboys $283 |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $13K | Over $16K | — | — |
| Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | Yes $19K | — | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $24K | Over $339 | — | — |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $16K | Yes $4.7K | — | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $10K | Under $14 | — | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8.3K | Under $7 | — | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | 49ers $1.6K | — | Cowboys $5.8K |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $798 | Over $5.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $4 | Raptors $5.4K | — | — |
| Spread: England (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Spain | Spain $3.9K | England $17 | — | — |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.6K | Yes $1 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $11 | Under $3.1K | — | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $717 | Over $1.7K | — | — |
| Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | Yes $5 | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $140 | Raptors $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Croatia | Czechia $1.5K | Croatia $132 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Mavericks $145 | Celtics $1.2K | — | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Over $45 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $10 | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $898 | Celtics $1 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $141 | Under $670 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $75 | Lakers $573 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $366 | Jazz $64 | — | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5 | Over $161 | — | — |
| Will England win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | Yes $121K | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $624 | — | — | Seahawks $58K |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Celtics $4.8K | Celtics $27K | — | — |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $435 | Raptors $12K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $755 | Under $307 | — | — |
| WTA Finals, Final Stage: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva | Elina Svitolina $1.0K | Elina Svitolina $16 | — | — |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Team Spirit | Team Spirit $3 | Team Spirit $981 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $248 | Under $529 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $23 | Celtics $583 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Spurs $176 | Spurs $190 | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $127 | Under $187 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-16.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Celtics $127 | Celtics $161 | — | — |
| Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers same side · consensus Pacific Tigers | Air Force Falcons $115 | Air Force Falcons $91 | — | — |