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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 47% (705–782, n=1487) | 53% (542–483, n=1025) | 33% (2–4, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $770K | $825K | $643K | -$1.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #98 | was PM monthly #684 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (6 of 15 open) | 61% (54 of 88 open) | 59% (58 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 20% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $1.4M | 49ers $183K | 49ers $101K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Clippers $37K | Hornets $17K | Hornets $433 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $40K | Cowboys $3.3K | 49ers $1.6K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $4.4K | Lakers $5.7K | Lakers $573 | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Clippers $1.1K | Clippers $2.6K | Clippers $5.2K | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $149K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $1.1K | Celtics $28K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $26K | — | 49ers $242 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Knicks $8.6K | Raptors $12K | — |
| Spread: France (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Türkiye | — | France $9.6K | Türkiye $31 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $3.7K | — | 49ers $4.9K | — |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Croatia | — | Czechia $8.3K | Croatia $132 | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $41 | Seahawks $7.3K | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6.6K | Over $692 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.9K | Under $3.1K | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $4.7K | Over $2.2K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.6K | Over $2.1K | — |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.3K | Yes $1 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $1.1K | Cardinals $495 | — | — |
| Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $850 | Yes $5 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $302 | Rams $10 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $136K | — | Cowboys $67K | — |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $33K | Over $2.6K | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $22K | Over $161 | — |
| Steelers vs. Bengals same side · consensus Bengals | — | Steelers $19K | Steelers $317 | — |
| Will England win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $4.0K | Yes $12K | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $12K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $9.9K | Jazz $650 | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $10K | Over $339 | — |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.0K | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $234 | Suns $6.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $5.3K | Jazz $64 | — |
| Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.8K | Under $284 | — |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.8K | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $841 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Team Spirit | — | Team Spirit $916 | Team Spirit $981 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-9.5) same side · consensus Rams | — | Cardinals $36 | Cardinals $1.5K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $585 | Under $670 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | Under $529 | — |
| Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes same side · consensus Utah Utes | — | Utah Utes $20 | Utah Utes $281 | — |