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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | eleonorrigby | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (73–54, n=127) | 59% (10–7, n=17) | 47% (735–824, n=1559) | 53% (578–504, n=1082) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.5M | $34K | $653K | $634K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #922 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (9 of 18 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 52% (55 of 106 open) | 58% (46 of 80 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42% | 100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 13% (won 41% of 104) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 100% of 25) | 20% (won 100% of 2) | 34% (won 100% of 161) | 25% (won 70% of 203) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 33) | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 78% of 370) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 30% (won 100% of 3) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 97% of 149) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | eleonorrigby | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $133K | — | 49ers $14K | Cowboys $59K |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $389 | — | Lakers $22K | Lakers $646 |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Clippers $608 | — | Clippers $2.7K | Clippers $2.8K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $1.2M | — | — | 49ers $109K |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | — | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $151K |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $43K | — | — | 49ers $1.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Mavericks $1.0K | Celtics $40K |
| Spread: 49ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $35K | — | — | 49ers $254 |
| Spread: Rams (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $31K | — | Cardinals $366 | — |
| Oilers vs. Flyers opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | — | Flyers $11K | Oilers $15K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $243 | Over $23K |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | — | Knicks $8.4K | Raptors $14K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $21K | — | — | Hornets $638 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $65 | Seahawks $15K |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $8.7K | Over $1.4K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $3.1K | Over $5.8K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $7.9K | Under $463 |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6.6K | Over $714 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $3.6K | — | — | 49ers $3.5K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.2K | Under $2.8K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $6.6K | Under $153 |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $1.8K | — | Cardinals $260 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | 49ers $39 | Cowboys $1.9K |
| Spread: Rams (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $33 | Rams $304 |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $56 | Over $133 |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $170 | Rams $13 |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $50K | Over $3.8K |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $17K | Rockets $14K |
| Steelers vs. Bengals same side · consensus Bengals | — | — | Steelers $19K | Steelers $317 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $16K | Jazz $923 |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $6.7K | Jazz $84 |
| Rams vs. Cardinals same side · consensus Rams | — | — | Cardinals $4.7K | Cardinals $42 |
| Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.4K | Under $198 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $1.7K | — | Seahawks $1.0K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $857 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Rams (-9.5) same side · consensus Rams | — | — | Cardinals $42 | Cardinals $1.8K |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $26 | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $45 | — | Suns $1.2K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $205 | Under $614 |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6 | Under $445 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6 | Under $261 |
| Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes same side · consensus Utah Utes | — | — | Utah Utes $19 | Utah Utes $153 |