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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)65% (4376–2323, n=6699)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)69% (227 of 328 open)53% (56 of 105 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)13% (won 100% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 100% of 329)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)58% (won 100% of 737)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $67
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $78
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.9KUnder $3
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
—SV 07 Elversberg $1.6KBV Borussia 09 Dortmund $10
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6KYes $14
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $9
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
—Arsenal FC $1.0KHull City AFC $7
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Perth Glory FC
—Newcastle United Jets FC $783Perth Glory FC $15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $111
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $60
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361Over $154
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $388Yes $8
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $371Yes $7
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $307Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $211Over $6
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $172Lions $30
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $114Over $29
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $94Yes $15
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $94Over $12
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $57Over $8
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Knicks $10Cavaliers $35
W15 Szabolcsveresmart: Melinda Biro vs Emese Serkedi
opposite sides · consensus Emese Serkedi
—Melinda Biro $22Emese Serkedi $7
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12No $4
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $45
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $52
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $6.9KAnna Blinkova $32
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.7KNo $64
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Francesco Passaro
same side · consensus Nikoloz Basilashvili
—Nikoloz Basilashvili $3.5KNikoloz Basilashvili $29
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.1KOver $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $105
W50 Heraklion: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
—Martha MATOULA $2.5KMartha MATOULA $25
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $10
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $780Over $13
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $489No $247
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $613Under $2
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $595Under $2
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $513Yes $2
Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Western Sydney Wanderers FC
—Western Sydney Wanderers FC $459Western Sydney Wanderers FC $6
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $360No $31
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $244Yes $16
Magic vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Magic
—Warriors $179Warriors $51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $94MOUZ $13
Blues vs. Predators: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11Under $26
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6Under $12
Nets vs. Hawks
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $2Hawks $4