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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)65% (4379–2323, n=6702)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)71% (294 of 414 open)51% (90 of 178 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)4% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)13% (won 100% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)26% (won 100% of 329)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)58% (won 100% of 737)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

49 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpPan9X
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $56KYes $359
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Leeds United FC
—Leeds United FC $19KTottenham Hotspur FC $6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $67
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $11KOver $35
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.7KOver $55
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.7KOver $16
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Mika Brunold $7.5KBorna Gojo $24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.2KNo $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $78
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.9KYes $32
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $9
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $3
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KOver $29
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
—Arsenal FC $1.0KHull City AFC $7
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $973Over $13
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $659Yes $2
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $602Yes $28
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Matteo Martineau $606Felix Gill $15
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $559Over $32
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $111
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $481Over $83
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $60
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $362Over $159
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361Over $154
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $464Yes $5
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $331Over $103
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $395Yes $23
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $409No $6
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Casper Ruud $352Carlos Alcaraz $31
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $367Yes $7
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $315No $4
Maryland vs. Purdue
opposite sides · consensus Purdue
—Maryland $228Purdue $34
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $211Over $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $168Over $38
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $172Lions $30
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $39No $151
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $167No $9
Will Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $43No $42
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $27Over $41
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $41Yes $7
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $10Cavaliers $35
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $21Under $7
Spread: Cardiff City FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Burnley FC
—Cardiff City FC $4Burnley FC $13
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $32KUnder $29
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $28KNo $44
Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $17KNo $425
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.0KYes $52
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $7.7KLorenzo Sonego $15