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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPan9X
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)57% (10818–8158, n=18976)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$1.9M$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)71% (5 of 7 open)72% (92 of 128 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)4% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)13% (won 100% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)26% (won 100% of 329)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)58% (won 100% of 737)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPan9X
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
opposite sides · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $71KCoco Gauff $3.1KJessica Pegula $20
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7KNo $243
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13KUnder $55
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Bills $135K——Vikings $21
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14KYes $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $81
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
——Joel Schwaerzler $2.2KMitsuki Wei Kang Leong $17
Cavaliers vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $1.8KHornets $15
Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai
opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai
—Sho Katayama $75Shintaro Imai $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $300
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KNo $41
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $956Under $49
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $116
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $412Over $152
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $63
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $116
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $199Over $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $95Over $39
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $76Vikings $16
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $22—No $20
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $31KKeisuke Saitoh $5.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.5KNo $46
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $106
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $52
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $1.1KRockets $11
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $837No $59
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——No $596No $9
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $162Hornets $12
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs
same side · consensus Holger Rune
——Holger Rune $62Holger Rune $8