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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)65% (4437–2347, n=6784)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$5.3M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #2was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)70% (169 of 240 open)no open consensus position57% (70 of 122 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 100% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 329)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 737)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Pan9X
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $67
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.4K—Robin Montgomery $8
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.9K—No $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $78
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
opposite sides · consensus Inaki Montes
—Inaki Montes $879—Damir Dzumhur $40
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $111
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $60
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $518—No $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361—Over $154
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $490—Under $11
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus ES Troyes AC
—ES Troyes AC $461—Paris Saint-Germain FC $6
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Casper Ruud $333—Carlos Alcaraz $31
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116
Maryland vs. Purdue
opposite sides · consensus Purdue
—Maryland $228—Purdue $34
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $211—Over $6
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $172—Lions $30
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $184—No $9
CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $27—Under $8
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $10—Cavaliers $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $52
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $105
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $489—No $247
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $613—Under $2
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $458—Under $4
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $391—Anastasia Zakharova $16
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $336—No $12
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Nottingham Forest FC
—Nottingham Forest FC $251—Nottingham Forest FC $4
Magic vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $180—Warriors $13
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Warriors $167—Warriors $8
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)
same side · consensus SV Werder Bremen
—SV Werder Bremen $117—SV Werder Bremen $10
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $52—No $4
Blues vs. Predators: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11—Under $26
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $6—Under $12
Nets vs. Hawks
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $2—Hawks $4